Match intelligence

Clube do Remo PA — Atletico Mineiro MG: Win probabilities, 08.08.2026

League: Brasileiro Serie A (Brazil) · Kick-off:

Full time

Final result

✓ Prediction hit
Clube do Remo PA2
:
2Atletico Mineiro MG
Locked signal 1X Probability 66.0% Verdict Hit
Mathematical model

Win probabilities

Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin

Odds updated
W1 35.4% Home win Clube do Remo PA
X 30.6% Draw
W2 34.0% Away win Atletico Mineiro MG
Market matrix

Markets

Double chance
1269.4%
Both teams to score
Yes51.4%
Totals 2.5
Under55.8%

All calculated markets

MarketSelectionProbability
Double chance1X66.0%
1269.4%
X264.6%
Both teams to scoreYes/No51.4% / 48.6%
Totals 0.5 Over/Under 89.7% / 10.3%
Totals 1.5 Over/Under 71.8% / 28.2%
Totals 2.5 Over/Under 44.2% / 55.8%
Totals 3.5 Over/Under 23.1% / 76.9%
Totals 4.5 Over/Under 10.2% / 89.8%
Totals 5.5 Over/Under 3.9% / 96.1%
Goal distribution model

Score probability heatmap

Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally

Clube do Remo PA × Atletico Mineiro MG
Home↘Away
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0 10.3%
0:1 8.8%
0:2 6.3%
0:3 2.6%
0:4 0.8%
0:5 0.2%
1
1:0 9.1%
1:1 14.6%
1:2 7.8%
1:3 3.2%
1:4 1.0%
1:5 0.2%
2
2:0 6.6%
2:1 8.0%
2:2 4.8%
2:3 2.0%
2:4 0.6%
2:5 0.1%
3
3:0 2.7%
3:1 3.3%
3:2 2.0%
3:3 0.8%
3:4 0.2%
3:5 0.1%
4
4:0 0.8%
4:1 1.0%
4:2 0.6%
4:3 0.2%
4:4 0.1%
4:5 0.0%
5
5:0 0.2%
5:1 0.3%
5:2 0.2%
5:3 0.1%
5:4 0.0%
5:5 0.0%
Most likely scores
1:114.6%
0:010.3%
1:09.1%
0:18.8%
2:18.0%
Match data

Form and head-to-head

Results before kick-off on 08.08.2026

Clube do Remo PA

19th place · 21 pts after 21

Last 5 matches · latest first

  • 29.07.2026 away Mirassol 1:2
  • 26.07.2026 home Vitoria 2:0
  • 23.07.2026 away Corinthians 0:3
  • 01.06.2026 home Sao Paulo 1:0
  • 24.05.2026 home Athletico-PR 1:2

Atletico Mineiro MG

10th place · 28 pts after 20

Last 5 matches · latest first

  • 26.07.2026 away Palmeiras 2:1
  • 21.07.2026 home Bahia 1:1
  • 31.05.2026 away Vasco 1:0
  • 24.05.2026 away Corinthians 0:1
  • 16.05.2026 home Mirassol 3:1

This season: Clube do Remo PA at home vs Atletico Mineiro MG away

Metric Clube do Remo PA · at home Atletico Mineiro MG · away
Matches1011
W–D–L3–4–34–0–7
Goals scored per match1.301.00
Goals conceded per match1.101.09
Over 2.5 goals30%36%
Both teams scored60%27%

Head-to-head · Last 1 meetings

Clube do Remo PA wins0
Draws1
Atletico Mineiro MG wins0
Goals per match6.00
Both teams scored1/1
Over 2.5 goals1/1
  • 11.02.2026 Atletico Mineiro MG 3:3 Clube do Remo PA

Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.

✦
AI analysis

Match preview

Model · GPT 5.6 Luna

Clube do Remo PA and Atletico Mineiro MG meet in the Brasileiro Serie A with the overall assessment pointing to an evenly matched contest. The available signal gives a moderate level of confidence, with neither side holding a decisive advantage. The 1X indication offers some support to Clube do Remo PA avoiding defeat, but it should be viewed as a cautious lean rather than a firm expectation.

The match is projected to be medium-scoring, although the possibility of both teams finding the net remains balanced. That makes the attacking outlook difficult to separate, with the most plausible scorelines including 1:1, 0:0 and 1:0. The first half may therefore be shaped by careful positioning and limited risk, while the match could turn on which team manages key moments more efficiently. Overall, the evidence supports a close game in which a draw is a realistic outcome, with only a slight edge toward Clube do Remo PA in the result market.

Current context

What matters before kick-off

Updated
Schedule

Atlético Mineiro recent away form

Atlético Mineiro enter the fixture following back-to-back away victories in Série A, including a 2-1 win at Palmeiras, along with a 1-0 win away against Juventude in the Copa do Brasil.

Schedule

Remo recent results

In their previous league match, Remo lost 2-1 away to Mirassol, followed by a 1-0 home defeat against Santos in the Copa do Brasil.

AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.

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How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.

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