Celtic Glasgow — Glasgow Rangers: Win probabilities, 20.09.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 67.7% |
| 12 | 73.6% | |
| X2 | 58.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 65.8% / 34.2% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 94.4% / 5.6% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 85.1% / 14.9% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 62.9% / 37.1% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 40.7% / 59.3% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 22.7% / 77.3% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 11.0% / 89.0% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 20.09.2026
Celtic Glasgow
1st place · 19 pts after 7Last 5 matches · latest first
- 09.09.2026 away St Johnstone 1:0
- 05.09.2026 away St Mirren 2:1
- 02.09.2026 home Aberdeen 3:0
- 29.08.2026 home Falkirk 2:1
- 22.08.2026 away St Johnstone 0:0
Glasgow Rangers
3rd place · 14 pts after 7Last 5 matches · latest first
- 09.09.2026 home St Mirren 1:0
- 05.09.2026 home Motherwell 1:0
- 02.09.2026 away Falkirk 2:1
- 30.08.2026 away Aberdeen 1:0
- 22.08.2026 home St Mirren 0:0
This season: Celtic Glasgow at home vs Glasgow Rangers away
| Metric | Celtic Glasgow · at home | Glasgow Rangers · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 3 | 3 |
| W–D–L | 3–0–0 | 2–1–0 |
| Goals scored per match | 2.00 | 1.33 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.33 | 0.67 |
| xG for per match | 2.63 | 1.62 |
| xG against per match | 0.56 | 0.98 |
| Shots on target per match | 8.00 | 5.67 |
| Corners per match | 10.00 | 7.33 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% | 33% |
| Both teams scored | 33% | 67% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 10.05.2026 Celtic Glasgow 3:1 Glasgow Rangers
- 01.03.2026 Glasgow Rangers 2:2 Celtic Glasgow
- 03.01.2026 Celtic Glasgow 1:3 Glasgow Rangers
- 31.08.2025 Glasgow Rangers 0:0 Celtic Glasgow
- 04.05.2025 Glasgow Rangers 1:1 Celtic Glasgow
- 16.03.2025 Celtic Glasgow 2:3 Glasgow Rangers
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Celtic Glasgow face Glasgow Rangers in the Premiership with a moderate home advantage indicated by the available assessment. The expected balance is relatively close, but Celtic Glasgow hold a slight edge, reflected in the 1X signal. That points towards a match where the hosts may avoid defeat, although the margin between the teams does not appear substantial.
The scoring outlook is high, with both teams likely to score. This suggests an open contest in which neither side is expected to dominate for long periods, and defensive control may be tested at both ends. The most plausible scoreline range includes 1:1, 2:1, and 1:2, underlining the competitive nature of the fixture. Celtic Glasgow have the stronger position in the assessment, but Glasgow Rangers remain capable of making the match difficult and contributing to the scoring.
What matters before kick-off
Recent League Cup encounter
On 13 September 2026, Rangers defeated Celtic 3-0 in the Premier Sports Cup quarter-finals thanks to a brace from Dan Neil and a goal by Kevin Kelsy.
Rangers injury updates
Rangers remain without long-term injured players Lawrence Shankland, Youssef Chermiti and Daisuke Yokota, while forward Ryan Naderi is a doubt.
Celtic schedule and European setback
Celtic enter the derby following a midweek Europa League defeat to Ferencvaros, suffering back-to-back losses across all competitions.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.