CA Tigre — CA Belgrano de Cordoba: Win probabilities, 06.08.2026
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 69.1% |
| 12 | 65.4% | |
| X2 | 65.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 36.8% / 63.2% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 82.9% / 17.1% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 55.5% / 44.5% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 27.7% / 72.3% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 11.3% / 88.7% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 3.8% / 96.2% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 1.1% / 98.9% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Match preview
CA Tigre and CA Belgrano de Cordoba appear evenly matched ahead of their Primera LPF Clausura meeting. The available assessment points to a cautious contest, with neither side holding a clear overall advantage. That balance may encourage both teams to prioritise defensive structure and avoid taking unnecessary risks early in the match.
The scoring outlook is low, with 0-0, 1-1 and 1-0 identified as the most plausible scorelines. A clean sheet is considered likely, suggesting that small details such as set pieces, concentration in transition and the ability to protect a narrow lead could prove important. CA Tigre may have a slight edge from playing at home, but the moderate confidence level indicates that the match remains difficult to separate. A controlled encounter with limited clear chances is the most consistent expectation.
Other matches
Prediction questions
We remove the bookmaker margin from market odds, estimate each team’s expected goals and build one matrix of possible scores. Outcomes, totals, both teams to score and likely scores all come from that matrix.
Fair odds are one divided by the probability of the main signal. They are a mathematical reference without bookmaker margin, not an offer from a particular bookmaker.
The official prediction is locked before kick-off and is never rewritten after publication. After the final whistle it is checked against the result and added to the public record.
AI does not calculate or change probabilities. It explains the mathematical output in plain language, and the model used is shown next to the analysis.