Match intelligence

CA Tigre — CA Belgrano de Cordoba: Win probabilities, 06.08.2026

League: Primera LPF, Clausura (Argentina) · Kick-off:

Full time

Final result

✓ Prediction hit
CA Tigre0
:
0CA Belgrano de Cordoba
Locked signal 1X Probability 73.6% Verdict Hit
Mathematical model

Win probabilities

Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin

Odds updated
W1 37.0% Home win CA Tigre
X 36.6% Draw
W2 26.4% Away win CA Belgrano de Cordoba
Market matrix

Markets

Double chance
1X75.8%
Both teams to score
No67.3%
Totals 2.5
Under75.9%

All calculated markets

MarketSelectionProbability
Double chance1X75.8%
1264.4%
X259.8%
Both teams to scoreYes/No32.7% / 67.3%
Totals 0.5 Over/Under 80.6% / 19.4%
Totals 1.5 Over/Under 51.5% / 48.5%
Totals 2.5 Over/Under 24.1% / 75.9%
Totals 3.5 Over/Under 9.2% / 90.8%
Totals 4.5 Over/Under 2.9% / 97.1%
Totals 5.5 Over/Under 0.8% / 99.2%
Goal distribution model

Score probability heatmap

Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally

CA Tigre × CA Belgrano de Cordoba
Home↘Away
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0 19.4%
0:1 12.0%
0:2 4.6%
0:3 1.1%
0:4 0.2%
0:5 0.0%
1
1:0 17.2%
1:1 13.8%
1:2 4.5%
1:3 1.1%
1:4 0.2%
1:5 0.0%
2
2:0 9.0%
2:1 6.3%
2:2 2.2%
2:3 0.5%
2:4 0.1%
2:5 0.0%
3
3:0 3.0%
3:1 2.1%
3:2 0.7%
3:3 0.2%
3:4 0.0%
3:5 0.0%
4
4:0 0.7%
4:1 0.5%
4:2 0.2%
4:3 0.0%
4:4 0.0%
4:5 0.0%
5
5:0 0.1%
5:1 0.1%
5:2 0.0%
5:3 0.0%
5:4 0.0%
5:5 0.0%
Most likely scores
0:019.4%
1:017.2%
1:113.8%
0:112.0%
2:09.0%
Match data

Form and head-to-head

Results before kick-off on 06.08.2026

Last 5 matches · latest first

  • 02.08.2026 away Racing Club 3:1
  • 25.07.2026 away Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 0:1
  • 03.05.2026 away Rosario Central 1:1
  • 25.04.2026 away Sarmiento Junin 0:1
  • 21.04.2026 home Huracan 1:1

Last 5 matches · latest first

  • 01.08.2026 home Argentinos Jrs 0:1
  • 23.07.2026 home Rosario Central 2:1
  • 24.05.2026 away River Plate 3:2
  • 17.05.2026 away Argentinos Jrs 1:1
  • 12.05.2026 home Union de Santa Fe 2:0

This season: CA Tigre at home vs CA Belgrano de Cordoba away

Metric CA Tigre · at home CA Belgrano de Cordoba · away
Matches811
W–D–L3–4–15–4–2
Goals scored per match1.381.00
Goals conceded per match1.001.00
Over 2.5 goals25%36%
Both teams scored63%45%

Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings

CA Tigre wins1
Draws4
CA Belgrano de Cordoba wins1
Goals per match2.00
Both teams scored3/6
Over 2.5 goals2/6
  • 29.01.2026 CA Belgrano de Cordoba 1:1 CA Tigre
  • 04.11.2025 CA Belgrano de Cordoba 0:0 CA Tigre
  • 22.04.2025 CA Tigre 0:0 CA Belgrano de Cordoba
  • 13.06.2024 CA Tigre 1:1 CA Belgrano de Cordoba
  • 29.03.2024 CA Tigre 1:4 CA Belgrano de Cordoba
  • 07.11.2023 CA Belgrano de Cordoba 0:3 CA Tigre

Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.

✦
AI analysis

Match preview

Model · GPT 5.6 Luna

CA Tigre and CA Belgrano de Cordoba appear evenly matched ahead of their Primera LPF, Clausura meeting. The overall assessment points to a balanced contest, with neither side holding a clear advantage. That makes the opening stages important, as both teams may prioritize structure and avoid giving the opposition space to attack early.

The match is expected to be low-scoring, with a clean sheet a realistic possibility. The most plausible scorelines are 0:0, 1:0, and 1:1, all of which reflect a game likely to be decided by small details rather than sustained attacking dominance. CA Tigre may have a slight benefit from playing at home, but the available signal supports protection against a home defeat rather than a decisive winning expectation. A patient, cautious encounter with limited clear chances is the most consistent reading.

Current context

What matters before kick-off

Updated
Availability

Belgrano squad news for Tigre match

Belgrano head coach Ricardo Zielinski named his squad for the Clausura Round 2 match against Tigre, featuring three returning players while Franco Vázquez misses out due to suspension.

Match fact

Recent draw streak in head-to-head matches

The last four competitive encounters between Tigre and Belgrano have ended in draws.

AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.

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How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.

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