CA Rosario Central — Racing Club Avellaneda: Win probabilities, 29.07.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 76.1% |
| 12 | 69.6% | |
| X2 | 54.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 46.2% / 53.8% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 88.4% / 11.6% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 67.9% / 32.1% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 40.0% / 60.0% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 19.7% / 80.3% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 8.2% / 91.8% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 2.9% / 97.1% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 29.07.2026
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 23.07.2026 away Belgrano 1:2
- 16.05.2026 away River Plate 0:1
- 13.05.2026 home Racing Club 1:1
- 10.05.2026 home Independiente 3:1
- 03.05.2026 home Tigre 1:1
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 24.07.2026 home Gimnasia L.P. 2:1
- 13.05.2026 away Rosario Central 1:1
- 10.05.2026 away Estudiantes L.P. 1:0
- 03.05.2026 home Huracan 0:0
- 25.04.2026 home Barracas Central 1:1
This season: CA Rosario Central at home vs Racing Club Avellaneda away
| Metric | CA Rosario Central · at home | Racing Club Avellaneda · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 10 | 11 |
| W–D–L | 5–3–2 | 4–4–3 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.40 | 1.09 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.90 | 0.82 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 36% |
| Both teams scored | 70% | 45% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 13.05.2026 CA Rosario Central 1:1 Racing Club Avellaneda
- 28.01.2026 Racing Club Avellaneda 1:2 CA Rosario Central
- 30.11.2024 CA Rosario Central 0:2 Racing Club Avellaneda
- 04.12.2023 Racing Club Avellaneda 2:2 CA Rosario Central
- 15.07.2023 Racing Club Avellaneda 1:1 CA Rosario Central
- 01.10.2022 Racing Club Avellaneda 4:3 CA Rosario Central
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
CA Rosario Central host Racing Club Avellaneda in a Primera LPF Clausura meeting that looks finely balanced. The available assessment gives the hosts a slight practical edge through the 1X signal, but the overall matchup remains even, with neither side clearly separated from the other. The moderate confidence level suggests that the main expectation is a competitive contest rather than a decisive performance from either team.
The game is projected to sit in a medium-scoring range, although both teams scoring remains difficult to call. That uncertainty leaves several close scenarios in play, including a draw or a narrow victory for CA Rosario Central. Racing Club Avellaneda should still have a credible route into the match, particularly if it can keep the contest compact and avoid allowing the hosts to establish control. Overall, the most balanced reading is a tight game decided by small details, with a draw appearing as plausible as a one-goal home win.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.