Defensa y Justicia — Deportivo Riestra AFBC: Win probabilities, 29.07.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 73.3% |
| 12 | 65.6% | |
| X2 | 61.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 35.8% / 64.2% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 82.6% / 17.4% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 54.8% / 45.2% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 27.1% / 72.9% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 10.9% / 89.1% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 3.7% / 96.3% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 1.0% / 99.0% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 29.07.2026
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 24.07.2026 home Aldosivi 1:1
- 04.05.2026 away Gimnasia Mendoza 1:2
- 24.04.2026 home Boca Juniors 0:4
- 18.04.2026 away Independiente 1:3
- 13.04.2026 home Talleres Cordoba 1:2
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 26.07.2026 home Boca Juniors 3:0
- 02.05.2026 away Lanus 0:0
- 24.04.2026 home Independiente 2:0
- 20.04.2026 away Talleres Cordoba 0:2
- 11.04.2026 home Instituto 0:1
This season: Defensa y Justicia at home vs Deportivo Riestra AFBC away
| Metric | Defensa y Justicia · at home | Deportivo Riestra AFBC · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 9 | 8 |
| W–D–L | 1–6–2 | 0–3–5 |
| Goals scored per match | 0.89 | 0.13 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.22 | 1.00 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 22% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 67% | 13% |
Head-to-head · Last 5 meetings
- 29.01.2026 Deportivo Riestra AFBC 0:1 Defensa y Justicia
- 11.08.2025 Defensa y Justicia 1:0 Deportivo Riestra AFBC
- 09.02.2025 Deportivo Riestra AFBC 1:1 Defensa y Justicia
- 18.11.2024 Defensa y Justicia 1:1 Deportivo Riestra AFBC
- 26.02.2024 Defensa y Justicia 1:1 Deportivo Riestra AFBC
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Defensa y Justicia hold a slight but well-supported edge over Deportivo Riestra AFBC in this Primera LPF, Clausura fixture. The assessment points toward a controlled match in which the home side has the stronger overall position, although the difference between the teams is not expected to produce an open contest. Home advantage is the main factor separating the sides, while the projected balance of the game suggests that neither team is likely to dominate for long periods.
The scoring outlook is cautious, with a low-scoring encounter more likely than an expansive one. A clean sheet appears likely, which places additional importance on defensive discipline and the ability to make limited chances count. The most plausible paths are a goalless draw or a narrow home victory, with a level result also remaining a credible possibility. Defensa y Justicia therefore appear better placed to avoid defeat, but the match could remain finely balanced deep into the second half.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.