Argentinos Juniors — Estudiantes Rio Cuarto: Win probabilities, 29.07.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 92.4% |
| 12 | 79.3% | |
| X2 | 28.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 34.3% / 65.7% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 90.7% / 9.3% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 71.1% / 28.9% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 44.4% / 55.6% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 23.3% / 76.7% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 10.3% / 89.7% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 3.9% / 96.1% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 29.07.2026
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 23.07.2026 away Sarmiento Junin 3:2
- 17.05.2026 home Belgrano 1:1
- 13.05.2026 home Huracan 0:0
- 10.05.2026 home Lanus 2:0
- 03.05.2026 away Gimnasia L.P. 0:2
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 25.07.2026 home Tigre 1:0
- 05.05.2026 home Instituto 0:2
- 24.04.2026 home Rosario Central 1:2
- 18.04.2026 away Gimnasia L.P. 0:1
- 12.04.2026 home Barracas Central 1:2
This season: Argentinos Juniors at home vs Estudiantes Rio Cuarto away
| Metric | Argentinos Juniors · at home | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 12 | 8 |
| W–D–L | 7–5–0 | 0–1–7 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.08 | 0.13 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.42 | 1.75 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 17% | 25% |
| Both teams scored | 33% | 13% |
Head-to-head · Last 1 meetings
- 30.01.2026 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 0:0 Argentinos Juniors
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Argentinos Juniors enter this Primera LPF, Clausura fixture as the clearly stronger side, although the moderate confidence level suggests a measured rather than emphatic assessment. Estudiantes Rio Cuarto face a difficult task away from home, particularly if Argentinos can control possession and establish pressure early. The overall profile points toward a medium-scoring match, with the hosts better placed to dictate the tempo.
The most plausible scenario is a narrow Argentinos Juniors victory, potentially decided by their ability to create the clearer chances rather than by sustained attacking volume. Estudiantes Rio Cuarto may look to remain compact and limit space, which could keep the scoreline close. A clean sheet for Argentinos appears more likely than both teams finding the net, while a goalless draw remains a secondary possibility if the visitors defend effectively and the hosts fail to turn their territorial advantage into goals.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.