CA Banfield — CA Sarmiento Junin: Win probabilities, 28.07.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 77.3% |
| 12 | 67.4% | |
| X2 | 55.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 47.3% / 52.7% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 87.3% / 12.7% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 69.1% / 30.9% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 40.0% / 60.0% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 19.7% / 80.3% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 8.2% / 91.8% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 2.9% / 97.1% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 28.07.2026
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 25.07.2026 away Huracan 0:1
- 02.05.2026 away Barracas Central 2:1
- 27.04.2026 away Atl. Tucuman 1:1
- 20.04.2026 home Ind. Rivadavia 0:0
- 13.04.2026 away Lanus 0:1
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 23.07.2026 home Argentinos Jrs 2:3
- 03.05.2026 away Belgrano 0:4
- 25.04.2026 home Tigre 1:0
- 20.04.2026 away Rosario Central 1:2
- 13.04.2026 home Gimnasia L.P. 1:2
This season: CA Banfield at home vs CA Sarmiento Junin away
| Metric | CA Banfield · at home | CA Sarmiento Junin · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 8 | 8 |
| W–D–L | 4–2–2 | 1–0–7 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.25 | 0.50 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.75 | 1.75 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 38% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 38% | 38% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 30.01.2026 CA Sarmiento Junin 1:0 CA Banfield
- 14.12.2024 CA Banfield 1:1 CA Sarmiento Junin
- 29.07.2023 CA Sarmiento Junin 0:0 CA Banfield
- 23.10.2022 CA Banfield 0:0 CA Sarmiento Junin
- 17.02.2022 CA Sarmiento Junin 2:2 CA Banfield
- 24.11.2021 CA Sarmiento Junin 0:0 CA Banfield
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
CA Banfield go into this Primera LPF, Clausura fixture with a slight but credible edge over CA Sarmiento Junin. The assessment points toward a cautious contest rather than an open attacking game, with limited scoring expected from both sides. Banfield’s home advantage gives them the stronger position, although the gap between the teams appears narrow enough for a draw to remain a realistic outcome.
The scoring outlook makes a tight result particularly plausible. A 1-0 Banfield win and a 1-1 draw fit the overall picture, while a goalless match is also within the range of reasonable outcomes. Whether both teams score is difficult to separate, so that aspect should be treated as balanced rather than decisive. Overall, CA Banfield have the clearer claim to avoid defeat, but CA Sarmiento Junin remain capable of making the match competitive through a disciplined, low-tempo approach.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.