Match intelligence

CA Paranaense PR — SC Internacional RS: Win probabilities, 25.07.2026

League: Brasileiro Serie A (Brazil) · Kick-off:

Full time

Final result

✓ Prediction hit
CA Paranaense PR2
:
0SC Internacional RS
Locked signal 1X Probability 76.7% Verdict Hit
Mathematical model

Win probabilities

Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin

Odds updated
W1 48.2% Home win CA Paranaense PR
X 28.5% Draw
W2 23.3% Away win SC Internacional RS
Market matrix

Markets

Double chance
1X75.9%
Both teams to score
Yes50.6%
Totals 2.5
Under53.9%

All calculated markets

MarketSelectionProbability
Double chance1X75.9%
1271.9%
X252.2%
Both teams to scoreYes/No50.6% / 49.4%
Totals 0.5 Over/Under 90.9% / 9.1%
Totals 1.5 Over/Under 72.8% / 27.2%
Totals 2.5 Over/Under 46.1% / 53.9%
Totals 3.5 Over/Under 24.7% / 75.3%
Totals 4.5 Over/Under 11.1% / 88.9%
Totals 5.5 Over/Under 4.3% / 95.7%
Goal distribution model

Score probability heatmap

Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally

CA Paranaense PR × SC Internacional RS
Home↘Away
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0 9.1%
0:1 7.0%
0:2 4.1%
0:3 1.4%
0:4 0.3%
0:5 0.1%
1
1:0 11.1%
1:1 13.4%
1:2 6.2%
1:3 2.1%
1:4 0.5%
1:5 0.1%
2
2:0 9.2%
2:1 9.3%
2:2 4.7%
2:3 1.6%
2:4 0.4%
2:5 0.1%
3
3:0 4.6%
3:1 4.7%
3:2 2.4%
3:3 0.8%
3:4 0.2%
3:5 0.0%
4
4:0 1.8%
4:1 1.8%
4:2 0.9%
4:3 0.3%
4:4 0.1%
4:5 0.0%
5
5:0 0.5%
5:1 0.5%
5:2 0.3%
5:3 0.1%
5:4 0.0%
5:5 0.0%
Most likely scores
1:113.4%
1:011.1%
2:19.3%
2:09.2%
0:09.1%
Match data

Form and head-to-head

Results before kick-off on 25.07.2026

CA Paranaense PR

3rd place · 33 pts after 19

Last 5 matches · latest first

  • 23.07.2026 away Sao Paulo 2:1
  • 30.05.2026 home Mirassol 1:0
  • 24.05.2026 away Remo 2:1
  • 17.05.2026 home Flamengo RJ 1:1
  • 11.05.2026 away Vasco 0:1

SC Internacional RS

14th place · 21 pts after 19

Last 5 matches · latest first

  • 23.07.2026 home Cruzeiro 1:2
  • 31.05.2026 away Bragantino 1:3
  • 23.05.2026 away Vitoria 0:2
  • 16.05.2026 home Vasco 4:1
  • 09.05.2026 away Coritiba 2:2

This season: CA Paranaense PR at home vs SC Internacional RS away

Metric CA Paranaense PR · at home SC Internacional RS · away
Matches109
W–D–L7–2–12–4–3
Goals scored per match1.701.11
Goals conceded per match0.601.44
Over 2.5 goals40%44%
Both teams scored50%67%

Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings

CA Paranaense PR wins4
Draws1
SC Internacional RS wins1
Goals per match2.17
Both teams scored2/6
Over 2.5 goals2/6
  • 28.01.2026 SC Internacional RS 0:1 CA Paranaense PR
  • 11.08.2024 SC Internacional RS 2:2 CA Paranaense PR
  • 21.04.2024 CA Paranaense PR 1:0 SC Internacional RS
  • 21.09.2023 CA Paranaense PR 2:1 SC Internacional RS
  • 10.05.2023 SC Internacional RS 0:2 CA Paranaense PR
  • 06.11.2022 SC Internacional RS 2:0 CA Paranaense PR

Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.

✦
AI analysis

Match preview

Model · GPT 5.6 Luna

CA Paranaense PR enter this Brasileiro Serie A meeting with a slight edge over SC Internacional RS. The assessment gives the hosts the stronger position, although the margin is not large enough to suggest a one-sided contest. The expected profile is medium-scoring, pointing toward a match with some attacking involvement but without an indication of an unusually open game.

The possibility of both teams scoring is finely balanced, so neither side has a clear advantage in that specific market. The most plausible scorelines include 1-1, 1-0, and 0-0, reflecting the narrow gap between the teams and the potential for a controlled encounter. CA Paranaense PR may have enough home advantage to avoid defeat, but SC Internacional RS remain capable of keeping the game level or making the result closely contested.

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How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.

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