CA Paranaense PR — SC Internacional RS: Win probabilities, 25.07.2026
Result
We predicted: 1X · Verdict: Hit
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 75.9% |
| 12 | 71.9% | |
| X2 | 52.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 50.6% / 49.4% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 90.9% / 9.1% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 72.8% / 27.2% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 46.1% / 53.9% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 24.7% / 75.3% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 11.1% / 88.9% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 4.3% / 95.7% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Match preview
CA Paranaense PR enter this Brasileiro Serie A meeting with a slight edge over SC Internacional RS. The assessment gives the hosts the stronger position, although the margin is not large enough to suggest a one-sided contest. The expected profile is medium-scoring, pointing toward a match with some attacking involvement but without an indication of an unusually open game.
The possibility of both teams scoring is finely balanced, so neither side has a clear advantage in that specific market. The most plausible scorelines include 1-1, 1-0, and 0-0, reflecting the narrow gap between the teams and the potential for a controlled encounter. CA Paranaense PR may have enough home advantage to avoid defeat, but SC Internacional RS remain capable of keeping the game level or making the result closely contested.
Other matches
Prediction questions
We remove the bookmaker margin from market odds, estimate each team’s expected goals and build one matrix of possible scores. Outcomes, totals, both teams to score and likely scores all come from that matrix.
Fair odds are one divided by the probability of the main signal. They are a mathematical reference without bookmaker margin, not an offer from a particular bookmaker.
The official prediction is locked before kick-off and is never rewritten after publication. After the final whistle it is checked against the result and added to the public record.
AI does not calculate or change probabilities. It explains the mathematical output in plain language, and the model used is shown next to the analysis.