CA Huracan — Gimnasia y Esgrima La Plata: Win probabilities, 15.10.2026
Mathematical model
Odds updated
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
W1
38.7%
Home win
CA Huracan
X
31.2%
Draw
W2
30.1%
Away win
Gimnasia y Esgrima La Plata
Market matrix
Markets
Double chance
1X69.9%
Both teams to score
No53.4%
Totals 2.5
Under61.0%
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 69.9% |
| 12 | 68.8% | |
| X2 | 61.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 46.6% / 53.4% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 88.1% / 11.9% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 67.0% / 33.0% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 39.0% / 61.0% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 19.0% / 81.0% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 7.8% / 92.2% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 2.7% / 97.3% |
Goal distribution model
CA Huracan × Gimnasia y Esgrima La Plata
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Home↘Away
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
11.9%
0:1
9.7%
0:2
5.7%
0:3
2.0%
0:4
0.5%
0:5
0.1%
1
1:0
11.5%
1:1
14.6%
1:2
6.9%
1:3
2.4%
1:4
0.6%
1:5
0.1%
2
2:0
7.7%
2:1
8.0%
2:2
4.2%
2:3
1.4%
2:4
0.4%
2:5
0.1%
3
3:0
3.1%
3:1
3.2%
3:2
1.7%
3:3
0.6%
3:4
0.2%
3:5
0.0%
4
4:0
0.9%
4:1
1.0%
4:2
0.5%
4:3
0.2%
4:4
0.0%
4:5
0.0%
5
5:0
0.2%
5:1
0.2%
5:2
0.1%
5:3
0.0%
5:4
0.0%
5:5
0.0%
Most likely scores
1:114.6%
0:011.9%
1:011.5%
0:19.7%
2:18.0%
Match data
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 15.10.2026
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 04.10.2026 home Aldosivi 1:0
- 19.09.2026 away River Plate 2:1
- 14.09.2026 home Racing Club 2:1
- 04.09.2026 away Belgrano 1:1
- 29.08.2026 home Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 1:1
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 03.10.2026 away Ind. Rivadavia 1:1
- 19.09.2026 home Banfield 2:2
- 13.09.2026 away Argentinos Jrs 1:1
- 05.09.2026 home Tigre 2:1
- 29.08.2026 away Rosario Central 2:1
This season: CA Huracan at home vs Gimnasia y Esgrima La Plata away
| Metric | CA Huracan · at home | Gimnasia y Esgrima La Plata · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 14 | 16 |
| W–D–L | 7–4–3 | 7–3–6 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.14 | 1.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.71 | 1.31 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 43% | 44% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 50% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
CA Huracan wins2
Draws1
Gimnasia y Esgrima La Plata wins3
Goals per match1.83
Both teams scored1/6
Over 2.5 goals2/6
- 05.04.2026 Gimnasia y Esgrima La Plata 0:3 CA Huracan
- 01.11.2024 CA Huracan 0:0 Gimnasia y Esgrima La Plata
- 13.02.2024 Gimnasia y Esgrima La Plata 3:1 CA Huracan
- 20.09.2023 CA Huracan 2:0 Gimnasia y Esgrima La Plata
- 14.06.2023 Gimnasia y Esgrima La Plata 1:0 CA Huracan
- 31.07.2022 CA Huracan 0:1 Gimnasia y Esgrima La Plata
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Odds movement
| W1 | was 2.38 → now 2.45 |
| W2 | was 3.20 → now 3.10 |
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