CA Banfield — Argentinos Juniors: Win probabilities, 17.10.2026
Mathematical model
Odds updated
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
W1
21.8%
Home win
CA Banfield
X
28.5%
Draw
W2
49.7%
Away win
Argentinos Juniors
Market matrix
Markets
Double chance
X278.2%
Both teams to score
No51.8%
Totals 2.5
Under56.1%
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 50.3% |
| 12 | 71.5% | |
| X2 | 78.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 48.2% / 51.8% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 90.0% / 10.0% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 71.2% / 28.8% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 43.9% / 56.1% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 22.9% / 77.1% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 10.0% / 90.0% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 3.8% / 96.2% |
Goal distribution model
CA Banfield × Argentinos Juniors
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Home↘Away
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
10.0%
0:1
12.0%
0:2
10.0%
0:3
5.0%
0:4
1.9%
0:5
0.6%
1
1:0
6.8%
1:1
13.5%
1:2
9.2%
1:3
4.7%
1:4
1.8%
1:5
0.5%
2
2:0
3.7%
2:1
5.6%
2:2
4.3%
2:3
2.1%
2:4
0.8%
2:5
0.2%
3
3:0
1.1%
3:1
1.7%
3:2
1.3%
3:3
0.7%
3:4
0.3%
3:5
0.1%
4
4:0
0.3%
4:1
0.4%
4:2
0.3%
4:3
0.2%
4:4
0.1%
4:5
0.0%
5
5:0
0.0%
5:1
0.1%
5:2
0.1%
5:3
0.0%
5:4
0.0%
5:5
0.0%
Most likely scores
1:113.5%
0:112.0%
0:210.0%
0:010.0%
1:29.2%
Match data
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 17.10.2026
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 06.10.2026 home Rosario Central 1:1
- 19.09.2026 away Gimnasia L.P. 2:2
- 14.09.2026 home Barracas Central 1:1
- 05.09.2026 away Aldosivi 1:3
- 30.08.2026 home River Plate 2:3
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 04.10.2026 home Tigre 2:1
- 20.09.2026 away Rosario Central 0:1
- 13.09.2026 home Gimnasia L.P. 1:1
- 07.09.2026 away Barracas Central 0:0
- 30.08.2026 home Aldosivi 2:1
This season: CA Banfield at home vs Argentinos Juniors away
| Metric | CA Banfield · at home | Argentinos Juniors · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 13 | 13 |
| W–D–L | 5–4–4 | 4–4–5 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.31 | 0.92 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.15 | 1.15 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 38% | 31% |
| Both teams scored | 54% | 46% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
CA Banfield wins0
Draws0
Argentinos Juniors wins6
Goals per match3.17
Both teams scored3/6
Over 2.5 goals4/6
- 06.04.2026 Argentinos Juniors 3:2 CA Banfield
- 21.09.2025 Argentinos Juniors 3:0 CA Banfield
- 07.03.2025 CA Banfield 1:2 Argentinos Juniors
- 12.11.2024 Argentinos Juniors 1:0 CA Banfield
- 10.02.2024 Argentinos Juniors 4:2 CA Banfield
- 16.09.2023 CA Banfield 0:1 Argentinos Juniors
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
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