Boca Juniors — CA Talleres de Cordoba: Win probabilities, 17.10.2026
Mathematical model
Odds updated
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
W1
59.4%
Home win
Boca Juniors
X
25.6%
Draw
W2
15.0%
Away win
CA Talleres de Cordoba
Market matrix
Markets
Double chance
1X85.0%
Both teams to score
No53.7%
Totals 2.5
Under53.2%
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 85.0% |
| 12 | 74.4% | |
| X2 | 40.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 46.3% / 53.7% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 90.9% / 9.1% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 73.6% / 26.4% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 46.8% / 53.2% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 25.3% / 74.7% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 11.5% / 88.5% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 4.5% / 95.5% |
Goal distribution model
Boca Juniors × CA Talleres de Cordoba
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Home↘Away
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
9.1%
0:1
4.8%
0:2
2.4%
0:3
0.6%
0:4
0.1%
0:5
0.0%
1
1:0
12.5%
1:1
12.1%
1:2
4.2%
1:3
1.1%
1:4
0.2%
1:5
0.0%
2
2:0
12.2%
2:1
9.5%
2:2
3.7%
2:3
1.0%
2:4
0.2%
2:5
0.0%
3
3:0
7.2%
3:1
5.6%
3:2
2.2%
3:3
0.6%
3:4
0.1%
3:5
0.0%
4
4:0
3.2%
4:1
2.5%
4:2
1.0%
4:3
0.3%
4:4
0.0%
4:5
0.0%
5
5:0
1.1%
5:1
0.9%
5:2
0.3%
5:3
0.1%
5:4
0.0%
5:5
0.0%
Most likely scores
1:012.5%
2:012.2%
1:112.1%
2:19.5%
0:09.1%
Match data
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 17.10.2026
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 03.10.2026 home Union de Santa Fe 3:0
- 20.09.2026 away San Lorenzo 2:0
- 12.09.2026 home Central Cordoba 3:1
- 05.09.2026 away Gimnasia Mendoza 2:2
- 29.08.2026 home Lanus 1:0
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 04.10.2026 home Belgrano 0:1
- 20.09.2026 away Instituto 1:3
- 13.09.2026 home Union de Santa Fe 2:1
- 05.09.2026 away San Lorenzo 0:1
- 30.08.2026 home Central Cordoba 0:0
This season: Boca Juniors at home vs CA Talleres de Cordoba away
| Metric | Boca Juniors · at home | CA Talleres de Cordoba · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 14 | 14 |
| W–D–L | 7–7–0 | 4–4–6 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.29 | 1.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.43 | 1.14 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 14% | 43% |
| Both teams scored | 43% | 50% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
Boca Juniors wins3
Draws2
CA Talleres de Cordoba wins1
Goals per match1.17
Both teams scored1/6
Over 2.5 goals1/6
- 03.04.2026 CA Talleres de Cordoba 0:1 Boca Juniors
- 23.11.2025 Boca Juniors 2:0 CA Talleres de Cordoba
- 26.05.2024 Boca Juniors 0:0 CA Talleres de Cordoba
- 12.02.2023 CA Talleres de Cordoba 2:1 Boca Juniors
- 17.07.2022 Boca Juniors 1:0 CA Talleres de Cordoba
- 01.08.2021 CA Talleres de Cordoba 0:0 Boca Juniors
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Odds movement
| W1 | was 1.67 → now 1.62 |
| W2 | was 5.50 → now 5.75 |
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