Brentford — Tottenham Hotspur: Win probabilities, 22.08.2026
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 67.1% |
| 12 | 74.5% | |
| X2 | 58.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 69.9% / 30.1% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 95.3% / 4.7% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 88.2% / 11.8% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 68.0% / 32.0% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 46.5% / 53.5% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 27.6% / 72.4% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 14.3% / 85.7% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Match preview
Brentford and Tottenham Hotspur look evenly matched ahead of this EPL meeting, with neither side holding a clear overall advantage. The available assessment points toward a competitive contest in which the balance could shift between the teams rather than being controlled consistently by one side.
The stronger signal is an open, high-scoring game, with both Brentford and Tottenham Hotspur likely to find the net. That points to an encounter where attacking moments may outweigh defensive control, although the evidence does not establish a definite winner. A draw is a plausible outcome, while a narrow victory for either team also fits the match profile. Overall, the outlook is for a closely contested game with chances at both ends.
Other matches
Prediction questions
We remove the bookmaker margin from market odds, estimate each team’s expected goals and build one matrix of possible scores. Outcomes, totals, both teams to score and likely scores all come from that matrix.
Fair odds are one divided by the probability of the main signal. They are a mathematical reference without bookmaker margin, not an offer from a particular bookmaker.
The official prediction is locked before kick-off and is never rewritten after publication. After the final whistle it is checked against the result and added to the public record.
AI does not calculate or change probabilities. It explains the mathematical output in plain language, and the model used is shown next to the analysis.