Birmingham City — Wolverhampton Wanderers: Win probabilities, 06.09.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 60.9% |
| 12 | 72.2% | |
| X2 | 66.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 57.0% / 43.0% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 92.5% / 7.5% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 77.3% / 22.7% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 52.0% / 48.0% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 29.9% / 70.1% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 14.6% / 85.4% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 6.1% / 93.9% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 06.09.2026
Birmingham City
12th place · 6 pts after 4Last 5 matches · latest first
- 01.09.2026 home Southampton 1:1
- 28.08.2026 away Wrexham 2:1
- 22.08.2026 home Bristol City 2:2
- 15.08.2026 away Sheffield United 0:0
- 02.05.2026 away Portsmouth 1:1
Wolverhampton Wanderers
10th place · 7 pts after 4Last 5 matches · latest first
- 01.09.2026 away West Ham 2:4
- 29.08.2026 home Stoke 4:1
- 22.08.2026 away Preston 3:1
- 14.08.2026 home Blackburn 2:2
- 24.05.2026 away Burnley 1:1
This season: Birmingham City at home vs Wolverhampton Wanderers away
| Metric | Birmingham City · at home | Wolverhampton Wanderers · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 2 | 2 |
| W–D–L | 0–2–0 | 1–0–1 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.50 | 2.50 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.50 | 2.50 |
| xG for per match | 1.76 | 1.24 |
| xG against per match | 1.22 | 1.36 |
| Shots on target per match | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| Corners per match | 5.00 | 5.50 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 100% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 100% |
Head-to-head
No previous meetings found in the available data.
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Birmingham City and Wolverhampton Wanderers meet in a Championship fixture that appears finely balanced. The available assessment points to an evenly matched contest, with neither side holding a clear overall advantage. Confidence in the outlook is moderate, so the match may be shaped by small margins rather than a dominant performance from either team.
The scoring profile suggests a medium-scoring game, while the possibility of both teams finding the net remains open rather than strongly indicated. The most plausible scorelines include 1:1, 1:2 and 0:1, reflecting a contest that could stay close while giving Wolverhampton Wanderers a slight edge in the result-focused market signal. Birmingham City should therefore remain competitive, but the visitors may have a marginally better chance of avoiding defeat.
What matters before kick-off
Birmingham City Injury News
Birmingham City manager Chris Davies will be without Lee Buchanan, Marc Leonard and Max Bird due to injury for the fixture against Wolverhampton Wanderers.
Wolverhampton Wanderers Injury News
Wolverhampton Wanderers remain without Kieran Trippier, Rafiki Said and Jean-Ricner Bellegarde due to injury for their derby with Birmingham City.
Recent Result for Wolverhampton Wanderers
Wolverhampton Wanderers suffered their first defeat of the season in midweek, losing 4-2 to West Ham United prior to their trip to Birmingham City.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.