Angers SCO — Lille OSC: Win probabilities, 23.08.2026
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 42.8% |
| 12 | 75.4% | |
| X2 | 81.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 47.3% / 52.7% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 91.9% / 8.1% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 72.8% / 27.2% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 47.1% / 52.9% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 25.5% / 74.5% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 11.7% / 88.3% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 4.6% / 95.4% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Match preview
Angers SCO face Lille OSC in a Ligue 1 meeting that looks finely balanced, although the visitors hold a slight edge. The low confidence attached to that assessment suggests there is no strong separation between the sides, leaving room for the match to develop in several directions. Lille may have the marginal advantage, but Angers SCO should remain competitive on home ground.
The outlook points to a medium-scoring contest, with both teams scoring regarded as an even possibility rather than a clear expectation. That makes the match difficult to read with certainty: a narrow Lille OSC win is one plausible scenario, while a draw also fits the overall picture. Angers SCO will need to keep the game controlled and make the most of its opportunities, whereas Lille OSC may look to turn its small positional advantage into a decisive moment.
Other matches
Prediction questions
We remove the bookmaker margin from market odds, estimate each team’s expected goals and build one matrix of possible scores. Outcomes, totals, both teams to score and likely scores all come from that matrix.
Fair odds are one divided by the probability of the main signal. They are a mathematical reference without bookmaker margin, not an offer from a particular bookmaker.
The official prediction is locked before kick-off and is never rewritten after publication. After the final whistle it is checked against the result and added to the public record.
AI does not calculate or change probabilities. It explains the mathematical output in plain language, and the model used is shown next to the analysis.