Angers SCO — Lille OSC: Win probabilities, 23.08.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 44.8% |
| 12 | 74.3% | |
| X2 | 80.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 51.1% / 48.9% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 92.1% / 7.9% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 75.7% / 24.3% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 50.0% / 50.0% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 28.0% / 72.0% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 13.3% / 86.7% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 5.5% / 94.5% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Match preview
Angers SCO and Lille OSC appear fairly closely matched, with a slight edge for Lille OSC. The low confidence indicates that the visitors’ advantage is limited rather than decisive, leaving room for a balanced contest at kickoff in Ligue 1.
A medium-scoring match is the clearest expectation, with 1-1, 0-1 and 0-2 among the plausible scorelines. Whether both teams score is difficult to separate, so the game could develop in either direction on that point. Lille OSC may have the stronger overall outlook, but Angers SCO remain capable of keeping the match competitive.
What matters before kick-off
Ligue 1 season opener
Angers SCO host Lille OSC at Stade Raymond Kopa on 23 August 2026 to kick off their 2026/27 Ligue 1 campaign.
Head-to-head record
Lille OSC have won their last four Ligue 1 matches against Angers SCO without conceding a single goal.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
Prediction questions
We remove the bookmaker margin from market odds, estimate each team’s expected goals and build one matrix of possible scores. Outcomes, totals, both teams to score and likely scores all come from that matrix.
Fair odds are one divided by the probability of the main signal. They are a mathematical reference without bookmaker margin, not an offer from a particular bookmaker.
The official prediction is locked before kick-off and is never rewritten after publication. After the final whistle it is checked against the result and added to the public record.
AI does not calculate or change probabilities. It explains the mathematical output in plain language, and the model used is shown next to the analysis.