Angers SCO — Lille OSC: Win probabilities, 23.08.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 44.8% |
| 12 | 74.3% | |
| X2 | 80.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 51.1% / 48.9% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 92.1% / 7.9% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 75.7% / 24.3% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 50.0% / 50.0% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 28.0% / 72.0% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 13.3% / 86.7% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 5.5% / 94.5% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 23.08.2026
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 17.05.2026 away Brest 1:1
- 10.05.2026 home Strasbourg 1:1
- 03.05.2026 away Auxerre 1:3
- 25.04.2026 home Paris SG 0:3
- 18.04.2026 home Le Havre 1:1
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 17.05.2026 home Auxerre 0:2
- 10.05.2026 away Monaco 1:0
- 03.05.2026 home Le Havre 1:1
- 26.04.2026 away Paris FC 1:0
- 18.04.2026 home Nice 0:0
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 22.02.2026 Angers SCO 0:1 Lille OSC
- 02.11.2025 Lille OSC 1:0 Angers SCO
- 27.04.2025 Angers SCO 0:2 Lille OSC
- 24.08.2024 Lille OSC 2:0 Angers SCO
- 08.04.2023 Angers SCO 1:0 Lille OSC
- 13.11.2022 Lille OSC 1:0 Angers SCO
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Angers SCO and Lille OSC appear fairly closely matched, with a slight edge for Lille OSC. The low confidence indicates that the visitors’ advantage is limited rather than decisive, leaving room for a balanced contest at kickoff in Ligue 1.
A medium-scoring match is the clearest expectation, with 1-1, 0-1 and 0-2 among the plausible scorelines. Whether both teams score is difficult to separate, so the game could develop in either direction on that point. Lille OSC may have the stronger overall outlook, but Angers SCO remain capable of keeping the match competitive.
What matters before kick-off
Ligue 1 season opener
Angers SCO host Lille OSC at Stade Raymond Kopa on 23 August 2026 to kick off their 2026/27 Ligue 1 campaign.
Head-to-head record
Lille OSC have won their last four Ligue 1 matches against Angers SCO without conceding a single goal.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.