ADO Den Haag — SC Cambuur: Win probabilities, 19.09.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 72.5% |
| 12 | 75.6% | |
| X2 | 51.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 67.8% / 32.2% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 95.5% / 4.5% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 87.2% / 12.8% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 67.0% / 33.0% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 45.3% / 54.7% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 26.6% / 73.4% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 13.6% / 86.4% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 19.09.2026
ADO Den Haag
18th place · 1 pts after 6Last 5 matches · latest first
- 12.09.2026 away Twente 0:2
- 06.09.2026 home For Sittard 2:3
- 30.08.2026 away Feyenoord 2:2
- 23.08.2026 away Go Ahead Eagles 1:3
- 16.08.2026 home Groningen 1:4
SC Cambuur
15th place · 4 pts after 6Last 5 matches · latest first
- 12.09.2026 home Nijmegen 3:0
- 06.09.2026 away Telstar 2:2
- 30.08.2026 home Twente 1:4
- 23.08.2026 home Feyenoord 2:5
- 15.08.2026 away For Sittard 1:3
This season: ADO Den Haag at home vs SC Cambuur away
| Metric | ADO Den Haag · at home | SC Cambuur · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 2 | 2 |
| W–D–L | 0–0–2 | 0–1–1 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Goals conceded per match | 3.50 | 2.50 |
| xG for per match | 0.74 | 1.74 |
| xG against per match | 1.88 | 2.02 |
| Shots on target per match | 3.50 | 5.00 |
| Corners per match | 3.50 | 4.50 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 100% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 100% |
Head-to-head
No previous meetings found in the available data.
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
ADO Den Haag host SC Cambuur in an Eredivisie match that points towards an open and competitive contest. The available assessment gives ADO Den Haag a slight edge, with high confidence, but the gap between the sides is not presented as decisive. Home advantage may help ADO Den Haag control more of the match, while SC Cambuur should remain capable of creating problems in the attacking phases.
The scoring outlook is notably positive, with both teams likely to find the net. That suggests a match in which defensive control may be difficult to maintain for either side, particularly if the opening goal arrives early. ADO Den Haag appear better placed to avoid defeat, but a draw remains a realistic possibility if SC Cambuur can turn their attacking opportunities into goals. Overall, the most balanced reading is a high-scoring game with a slight advantage for the hosts.
What matters before kick-off
ADO Den Haag searching for first Eredivisie win of the season
ADO Den Haag host SC Cambuur after a 2-0 away defeat against FC Twente, remaining winless in the current Eredivisie campaign.
SC Cambuur enter match following 3-0 victory over N.E.C.
SC Cambuur secured a 3-0 home win against N.E.C. in their previous fixture, with Ilyas Hamache scoring twice and Iwan Henstra adding a late third goal.
Allard Lindhout appointed referee for ADO Den Haag vs SC Cambuur
The KNVB selected Allard Lindhout to referee the match at WerkTalent Stadion, with Jeroen Manschot named as the Video Assistant Referee.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.