AC Omonia Nicosia — RC Celta de Vigo: Win probabilities, 16.09.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 44.8% |
| 12 | 74.3% | |
| X2 | 80.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 49.1% / 50.9% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 91.7% / 8.3% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 73.7% / 26.3% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 47.7% / 52.3% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 26.0% / 74.0% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 12.0% / 88.0% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 4.8% / 95.2% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 16.09.2026
AC Omonia Nicosia
Last 3 matches · latest first
- 13.08.2026 home Lincoln Red Imps 1:0
- 06.08.2026 away Lincoln Red Imps 1:1
- 29.07.2026 away FC Kairat Almaty 5:7
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 13.09.2026 home Malaga 1:1
- 07.09.2026 away Getafe 1:1
- 03.09.2026 away Sociedad 0:0
- 30.08.2026 home Ath Bilbao 0:2
- 27.08.2026 home Osasuna 1:2
Head-to-head
No previous meetings found in the available data.
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
AC Omonia Nicosia face RC Celta de Vigo in the UEFA Europa League, with the visitors carrying a slight edge in the overall assessment. The matchup is not expected to be one-sided, but RC Celta de Vigo appear better placed to control key phases and emerge with a positive result. AC Omonia Nicosia will still have a credible opportunity, particularly if they can keep the contest compact and make effective use of their chances.
The scoring outlook points to a medium-scoring game rather than an open exchange from the outset. The possibility of both teams finding the net is finely balanced, so the match could develop in either direction depending on which side takes the initiative. A draw remains a realistic outcome, while a narrow RC Celta de Vigo victory is also consistent with the assessment. Overall, the visitors have the clearer advantage, but the margin is limited enough to keep AC Omonia Nicosia competitive throughout.
What matters before kick-off
First European meeting
AC Omonia Nicosia and RC Celta de Vigo have never previously faced each other in official European competitions.
Recent result for Celta Vigo
RC Celta de Vigo enter their Europa League opener following a 1-1 draw against Málaga in La Liga over the weekend.
Omonia's main stage return
The Cypriot club secured a return to the UEFA Europa League main draw for the first time since the 2022/23 season.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.