Yellow-Red KV Mechelen — KRC Genk: Win probabilities, 31.10.2026
Mathematical model
Odds updated
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
W1
25.8%
Home win
Yellow-Red KV Mechelen
X
24.7%
Draw
W2
49.5%
Away win
KRC Genk
Market matrix
Markets
Double chance
1275.3%
Both teams to score
Yes60.0%
Totals 2.5
Over58.4%
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 50.5% |
| 12 | 75.3% | |
| X2 | 74.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 60.0% / 40.0% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 94.4% / 5.6% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 81.3% / 18.7% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 58.4% / 41.6% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 36.0% / 64.0% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 19.1% / 80.9% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 8.7% / 91.3% |
Goal distribution model
Yellow-Red KV Mechelen × KRC Genk
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Home↘Away
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
5.6%
0:1
7.9%
0:2
7.7%
0:3
4.6%
0:4
2.1%
0:5
0.7%
1
1:0
5.2%
1:1
11.5%
1:2
9.6%
1:3
5.7%
1:4
2.6%
1:5
0.9%
2
2:0
3.7%
2:1
6.7%
2:2
6.0%
2:3
3.6%
2:4
1.6%
2:5
0.6%
3
3:0
1.5%
3:1
2.8%
3:2
2.5%
3:3
1.5%
3:4
0.7%
3:5
0.2%
4
4:0
0.5%
4:1
0.9%
4:2
0.8%
4:3
0.5%
4:4
0.2%
4:5
0.1%
5
5:0
0.1%
5:1
0.2%
5:2
0.2%
5:3
0.1%
5:4
0.1%
5:5
0.0%
Most likely scores
1:111.5%
1:29.6%
0:17.9%
0:27.7%
2:16.7%
Match data
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 31.10.2026
Yellow-Red KV Mechelen
15th place · 6 pts after 8Last 5 matches · latest first
- 11.10.2026 home St Truiden 4:3
- 19.09.2026 away Lommel SK 0:0
- 11.09.2026 home Anderlecht 0:1
- 05.09.2026 home Westerlo 0:4
- 29.08.2026 away RAAL La Louviere 2:2
KRC Genk
6th place · 15 pts after 9Last 5 matches · latest first
- 25.10.2026 home Standard 2:1
- 10.10.2026 home Kortrijk 3:0
- 20.09.2026 away Club Brugge 0:3
- 13.09.2026 home Gent 1:1
- 06.09.2026 away Anderlecht 0:0
This season: Yellow-Red KV Mechelen at home vs KRC Genk away
| Metric | Yellow-Red KV Mechelen · at home | KRC Genk · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 4 | 4 |
| W–D–L | 1–1–2 | 0–2–2 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.75 | 1.25 |
| Goals conceded per match | 2.75 | 2.25 |
| xG for per match | 1.33 | 1.05 |
| xG against per match | 1.61 | 1.35 |
| Shots on target per match | 3.00 | 3.50 |
| Corners per match | 5.50 | 2.75 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 75% | 75% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 50% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
Yellow-Red KV Mechelen wins1
Draws1
KRC Genk wins4
Goals per match3.00
Both teams scored4/6
Over 2.5 goals4/6
- 13.02.2026 Yellow-Red KV Mechelen 2:3 KRC Genk
- 23.11.2025 KRC Genk 0:1 Yellow-Red KV Mechelen
- 18.01.2025 Yellow-Red KV Mechelen 1:2 KRC Genk
- 28.09.2024 KRC Genk 2:1 Yellow-Red KV Mechelen
- 11.02.2024 Yellow-Red KV Mechelen 1:1 KRC Genk
- 22.10.2023 KRC Genk 4:0 Yellow-Red KV Mechelen
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
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