SK Beveren — Union Saint-Gilloise: Win probabilities, 31.10.2026
Mathematical model
Odds updated
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
W1
16.3%
Home win
SK Beveren
X
21.3%
Draw
W2
62.4%
Away win
Union Saint-Gilloise
Market matrix
Markets
Double chance
X283.7%
Both teams to score
Yes56.5%
Totals 2.5
Over60.5%
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 37.6% |
| 12 | 78.7% | |
| X2 | 83.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 56.5% / 43.5% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 95.0% / 5.0% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 82.6% / 17.4% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 60.5% / 39.5% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 38.2% / 61.8% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 20.7% / 79.3% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 9.8% / 90.2% |
Goal distribution model
SK Beveren × Union Saint-Gilloise
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Home↘Away
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
5.0%
0:1
8.6%
0:2
9.9%
0:3
7.0%
0:4
3.7%
0:5
1.6%
1
1:0
3.7%
1:1
10.0%
1:2
9.9%
1:3
7.0%
1:4
3.7%
1:5
1.6%
2
2:0
2.2%
2:1
4.7%
2:2
5.0%
2:3
3.5%
2:4
1.9%
2:5
0.8%
3
3:0
0.7%
3:1
1.6%
3:2
1.7%
3:3
1.2%
3:4
0.6%
3:5
0.3%
4
4:0
0.2%
4:1
0.4%
4:2
0.4%
4:3
0.3%
4:4
0.2%
4:5
0.1%
5
5:0
0.0%
5:1
0.1%
5:2
0.1%
5:3
0.1%
5:4
0.0%
5:5
0.0%
Most likely scores
1:110.0%
1:29.9%
0:29.9%
0:18.6%
1:37.0%
Match data
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 31.10.2026
SK Beveren
12th place · 10 pts after 9Last 5 matches · latest first
- 24.10.2026 away Westerlo 4:4
- 09.10.2026 home Lommel SK 1:3
- 20.09.2026 away Kortrijk 0:1
- 12.09.2026 home St Truiden 2:0
- 06.09.2026 home Oud-Heverlee Leuven 3:0
Union Saint-Gilloise
3rd place · 23 pts after 9Last 5 matches · latest first
- 25.10.2026 home Cercle Brugge 5:2
- 11.10.2026 home Oud-Heverlee Leuven 1:1
- 20.09.2026 away Antwerp 2:0
- 12.09.2026 home Lommel SK 5:0
- 05.09.2026 away Charleroi 3:2
This season: SK Beveren at home vs Union Saint-Gilloise away
| Metric | SK Beveren · at home | Union Saint-Gilloise · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 4 | 4 |
| W–D–L | 3–0–1 | 4–0–0 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.75 | 3.25 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.75 | 0.75 |
| xG for per match | 1.44 | 2.22 |
| xG against per match | 1.10 | 1.05 |
| Shots on target per match | 4.25 | 8.50 |
| Corners per match | 5.25 | 4.75 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 75% |
| Both teams scored | 25% | 50% |
Head-to-head
No previous meetings found in the available data.
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
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