Match intelligence

RSC Anderlecht — KVC Westerlo: Win probabilities, 31.10.2026

League: First Division A (Belgium) · Kick-off:

Mathematical model

Win probabilities

Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin

Odds updated
W1 60.2% Home win RSC Anderlecht
X 23.0% Draw
W2 16.7% Away win KVC Westerlo
Market matrix

Markets

Double chance
1X83.3%
Both teams to score
Yes65.0%
Totals 2.5
Over68.2%

All calculated markets

MarketSelectionProbability
Double chance1X83.3%
1277.0%
X239.8%
Both teams to scoreYes/No65.0% / 35.0%
Totals 0.5 Over/Under 95.1% / 4.9%
Totals 1.5 Over/Under 88.5% / 11.5%
Totals 2.5 Over/Under 68.2% / 31.8%
Totals 3.5 Over/Under 46.7% / 53.3%
Totals 4.5 Over/Under 27.8% / 72.2%
Totals 5.5 Over/Under 14.5% / 85.5%
Goal distribution model

Score probability heatmap

Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally

RSC Anderlecht × KVC Westerlo
Home↘Away
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0 4.9%
0:1 1.6%
0:2 2.2%
0:3 0.9%
0:4 0.3%
0:5 0.1%
1
1:0 4.9%
1:1 10.2%
1:2 5.0%
1:3 2.0%
1:4 0.6%
1:5 0.1%
2
2:0 7.9%
2:1 9.6%
2:2 5.8%
2:3 2.3%
2:4 0.7%
2:5 0.2%
3
3:0 6.1%
3:1 7.4%
3:2 4.4%
3:3 1.8%
3:4 0.5%
3:5 0.1%
4
4:0 3.5%
4:1 4.3%
4:2 2.6%
4:3 1.0%
4:4 0.3%
4:5 0.1%
5
5:0 1.6%
5:1 2.0%
5:2 1.2%
5:3 0.5%
5:4 0.1%
5:5 0.0%
Most likely scores
1:110.2%
2:19.6%
2:07.9%
3:17.4%
3:06.1%
Match data

Form and head-to-head

Results before kick-off on 31.10.2026

RSC Anderlecht

5th place · 16 pts after 9

Last 5 matches · latest first

  • 25.10.2026 away Gent 0:4
  • 10.10.2026 away Cercle Brugge 2:1
  • 19.09.2026 home Waregem 3:0
  • 11.09.2026 away Mechelen 1:0
  • 06.09.2026 home Genk 0:0

KVC Westerlo

7th place · 14 pts after 9

Last 5 matches · latest first

  • 24.10.2026 home Beveren 4:4
  • 11.10.2026 home Antwerp 5:1
  • 20.09.2026 away St Truiden 2:0
  • 12.09.2026 home Standard 4:2
  • 05.09.2026 away Mechelen 4:0

This season: RSC Anderlecht at home vs KVC Westerlo away

Metric RSC Anderlecht · at home KVC Westerlo · away
Matches44
W–D–L3–1–02–0–2
Goals scored per match1.502.00
Goals conceded per match0.251.75
xG for per match2.011.45
xG against per match0.652.04
Shots on target per match6.005.00
Corners per match7.254.25
Over 2.5 goals50%75%
Both teams scored25%25%

Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings

RSC Anderlecht wins3
Draws1
KVC Westerlo wins2
Goals per match4.00
Both teams scored4/6
Over 2.5 goals5/6
  • 07.12.2025 KVC Westerlo 4:0 RSC Anderlecht
  • 27.07.2025 RSC Anderlecht 5:2 KVC Westerlo
  • 09.03.2025 KVC Westerlo 2:0 RSC Anderlecht
  • 14.09.2024 RSC Anderlecht 2:2 KVC Westerlo
  • 01.12.2023 KVC Westerlo 1:3 RSC Anderlecht
  • 20.08.2023 RSC Anderlecht 2:1 KVC Westerlo

Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.

Odds movement

W1 was 1.89 → now 1.60
X was 3.45 → now 3.90
W2 was 3.80 → now 5.25
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Other matches

→ First Division A

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How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.

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