Standard Liege — KV Kortrijk: Win probabilities, 31.10.2026
Mathematical model
Odds updated
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
W1
55.8%
Home win
Standard Liege
X
23.8%
Draw
W2
20.3%
Away win
KV Kortrijk
Market matrix
Markets
Double chance
1X79.7%
Both teams to score
Yes55.8%
Totals 2.5
Over56.0%
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 79.7% |
| 12 | 76.2% | |
| X2 | 44.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 55.8% / 44.2% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 94.0% / 6.0% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 79.6% / 20.4% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 56.0% / 44.0% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 33.6% / 66.4% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 17.2% / 82.8% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 7.7% / 92.3% |
Goal distribution model
Standard Liege × KV Kortrijk
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Home↘Away
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
6.0%
0:1
5.0%
0:2
3.0%
0:3
1.0%
0:4
0.3%
0:5
0.1%
1
1:0
9.4%
1:1
11.3%
1:2
5.6%
1:3
2.0%
1:4
0.5%
1:5
0.1%
2
2:0
9.4%
2:1
9.9%
2:2
5.2%
2:3
1.8%
2:4
0.5%
2:5
0.1%
3
3:0
5.9%
3:1
6.2%
3:2
3.3%
3:3
1.1%
3:4
0.3%
3:5
0.1%
4
4:0
2.7%
4:1
2.9%
4:2
1.5%
4:3
0.5%
4:4
0.1%
4:5
0.0%
5
5:0
1.0%
5:1
1.1%
5:2
0.6%
5:3
0.2%
5:4
0.1%
5:5
0.0%
Most likely scores
1:111.3%
2:19.9%
2:09.4%
1:09.4%
3:16.2%
Match data
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 31.10.2026
Standard Liege
9th place · 11 pts after 9Last 5 matches · latest first
- 25.10.2026 away Genk 1:2
- 11.10.2026 home Charleroi 0:1
- 18.09.2026 away Gent 1:2
- 12.09.2026 away Westerlo 2:4
- 05.09.2026 home Antwerp 1:0
KV Kortrijk
18th place · 3 pts after 8Last 5 matches · latest first
- 10.10.2026 away Genk 0:3
- 20.09.2026 home Beveren 1:0
- 13.09.2026 away RAAL La Louviere 0:3
- 06.09.2026 home Waregem 0:2
- 03.09.2026 away Anderlecht 0:1
This season: Standard Liege at home vs KV Kortrijk away
| Metric | Standard Liege · at home | KV Kortrijk · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 4 | 4 |
| W–D–L | 2–1–1 | 0–0–4 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.25 | 0.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.75 | 2.50 |
| xG for per match | 2.16 | 0.69 |
| xG against per match | 1.25 | 2.67 |
| Shots on target per match | 5.00 | 1.75 |
| Corners per match | 7.75 | 2.75 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 25% | 75% |
| Both teams scored | 25% | 0% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
Standard Liege wins2
Draws1
KV Kortrijk wins3
Goals per match1.33
Both teams scored1/6
Over 2.5 goals0/6
- 10.01.2025 Standard Liege 1:0 KV Kortrijk
- 18.08.2024 KV Kortrijk 1:0 Standard Liege
- 20.01.2024 Standard Liege 0:1 KV Kortrijk
- 26.08.2023 KV Kortrijk 1:1 Standard Liege
- 12.02.2023 Standard Liege 0:2 KV Kortrijk
- 28.08.2022 KV Kortrijk 0:1 Standard Liege
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Odds movement
| W1 | was 1.81 → now 1.72 |
| W2 | was 4.00 → now 4.40 |
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