Match intelligence

SV Zulte Waregem — Club Brugge: Win probabilities, 30.10.2026

League: First Division A (Belgium) · Kick-off:

Mathematical model

Win probabilities

Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin

Odds updated
W1 15.3% Home win SV Zulte Waregem
X 20.4% Draw
W2 64.3% Away win Club Brugge
Market matrix

Markets

Double chance
X284.7%
Both teams to score
Yes57.8%
Totals 2.5
Over63.3%

All calculated markets

MarketSelectionProbability
Double chance1X35.7%
1279.6%
X284.7%
Both teams to scoreYes/No57.8% / 42.2%
Totals 0.5 Over/Under 95.5% / 4.5%
Totals 1.5 Over/Under 84.4% / 15.6%
Totals 2.5 Over/Under 63.3% / 36.7%
Totals 3.5 Over/Under 41.2% / 58.8%
Totals 4.5 Over/Under 23.1% / 76.9%
Totals 5.5 Over/Under 11.3% / 88.7%
Goal distribution model

Score probability heatmap

Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally

SV Zulte Waregem × Club Brugge
Home↘Away
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0 4.5%
0:1 7.9%
0:2 9.6%
0:3 7.2%
0:4 4.0%
0:5 1.8%
1
1:0 3.2%
1:1 9.4%
1:2 9.8%
1:3 7.3%
1:4 4.1%
1:5 1.8%
2
2:0 2.0%
2:1 4.5%
2:2 5.0%
2:3 3.7%
2:4 2.1%
2:5 0.9%
3
3:0 0.7%
3:1 1.5%
3:2 1.7%
3:3 1.3%
3:4 0.7%
3:5 0.3%
4
4:0 0.2%
4:1 0.4%
4:2 0.4%
4:3 0.3%
4:4 0.2%
4:5 0.1%
5
5:0 0.0%
5:1 0.1%
5:2 0.1%
5:3 0.1%
5:4 0.0%
5:5 0.0%
Most likely scores
1:29.8%
0:29.6%
1:19.4%
0:17.9%
1:37.3%
Match data

Form and head-to-head

Results before kick-off on 30.10.2026

SV Zulte Waregem

10th place · 11 pts after 9

Last 5 matches · latest first

  • 24.10.2026 away RAAL La Louviere 0:3
  • 10.10.2026 home Gent 0:2
  • 19.09.2026 away Anderlecht 0:3
  • 13.09.2026 home Charleroi 0:1
  • 06.09.2026 away Kortrijk 2:0

Club Brugge

2nd place · 24 pts after 9

Last 5 matches · latest first

  • 25.10.2026 home St Truiden 3:2
  • 10.10.2026 away RAAL La Louviere 4:1
  • 20.09.2026 home Genk 3:0
  • 13.09.2026 home Antwerp 3:1
  • 04.09.2026 away Lommel SK 1:0

This season: SV Zulte Waregem at home vs Club Brugge away

Metric SV Zulte Waregem · at home Club Brugge · away
Matches44
W–D–L2–0–23–0–1
Goals scored per match1.502.25
Goals conceded per match1.000.75
xG for per match1.222.32
xG against per match1.120.97
Shots on target per match4.255.50
Corners per match4.758.25
Over 2.5 goals50%75%
Both teams scored25%50%

Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings

SV Zulte Waregem wins0
Draws1
Club Brugge wins5
Goals per match3.33
Both teams scored3/6
Over 2.5 goals4/6
  • 24.01.2026 Club Brugge 4:3 SV Zulte Waregem
  • 16.08.2025 SV Zulte Waregem 0:1 Club Brugge
  • 29.01.2023 SV Zulte Waregem 1:2 Club Brugge
  • 05.08.2022 Club Brugge 1:1 SV Zulte Waregem
  • 12.12.2021 Club Brugge 3:0 SV Zulte Waregem
  • 15.08.2021 SV Zulte Waregem 0:4 Club Brugge

Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.

Odds movement

W1 was 4.75 → now 5.60
X was 4.10 → now 4.30
W2 was 1.62 → now 1.50
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Other matches

→ First Division A

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How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.

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