Wolverhampton Wanderers — Blackburn Rovers: Win probabilities, 14.08.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 86.9% |
| 12 | 78.4% | |
| X2 | 34.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 47.8% / 52.2% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 93.3% / 6.7% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 77.5% / 22.5% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 53.0% / 47.0% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 30.7% / 69.3% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 15.2% / 84.8% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 6.5% / 93.5% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 14.08.2026
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 24.05.2026 away Burnley 1:1
- 17.05.2026 home Fulham 1:1
- 09.05.2026 away Brighton 0:3
- 02.05.2026 home Sunderland 1:1
- 25.04.2026 home Tottenham 0:1
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 02.05.2026 home Leicester 0:1
- 22.04.2026 away Sheffield United 3:1
- 17.04.2026 home Coventry 1:1
- 14.04.2026 away Southampton 0:3
- 11.04.2026 away Stoke 1:1
Head-to-head
No previous meetings found in the available data.
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Wolverhampton Wanderers go into this Championship meeting with a clear advantage over Blackburn Rovers, although the assessment carries only moderate confidence. The hosts are judged to be clearly stronger, making the home result the main outcome signal, but the gap is not presented as decisive. That leaves room for a competitive contest if Blackburn Rovers can keep the game controlled and limit the home side’s opportunities.
The match is expected to be medium-scoring rather than an open shootout. The available scoring view does not establish a clear position on whether both teams will find the net, so that aspect remains finely balanced. The most likely scorelines point towards a narrow Wolverhampton Wanderers win, with 2:0 and 1:0 ahead of 1:1 in the assessment. Overall, the hosts have the stronger profile, while Blackburn Rovers retain a realistic chance of making the game difficult and keeping the margin close.
What matters before kick-off
2026/27 Championship season opener
Wolverhampton Wanderers and Blackburn Rovers kick off the 2026/27 Championship season against each other at Molineux Stadium.
First-round League Cup victories
Prior to the league opener, both teams won their EFL Cup first-round fixtures: Wolves defeated Port Vale 3-0, while Blackburn Rovers secured a 2-1 victory over Burton Albion.
Wolves squad availability issues
Wolverhampton Wanderers enter the match with several injury absentees, including Sam Johnstone, Jean-Ricner Bellegarde, and Rafiki Said.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.