Bolton Wanderers — Preston North End: Win probabilities, 15.08.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 70.9% |
| 12 | 71.4% | |
| X2 | 57.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 54.2% / 45.8% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 91.4% / 8.6% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 75.1% / 24.9% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 48.8% / 51.2% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 26.9% / 73.1% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 12.6% / 87.4% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 5.1% / 94.9% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 15.08.2026
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 02.05.2026 home Luton 2:3
- 25.04.2026 away Bradford 1:1
- 18.04.2026 home Huddersfield 3:3
- 14.04.2026 home Stevenage 5:1
- 11.04.2026 away Cardiff 0:2
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 02.05.2026 home Southampton 1:3
- 25.04.2026 away Sheffield United 3:2
- 22.04.2026 away Birmingham 1:2
- 18.04.2026 home West Brom 0:2
- 11.04.2026 away Charlton 2:1
Head-to-head
No previous meetings found in the available data.
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Bolton Wanderers have a slight edge over Preston North End in this Championship meeting, although the moderate confidence level points to a contest with limited separation between the sides. The available assessment indicates a medium-scoring match, suggesting that neither team is expected to dominate the attacking phases consistently. Bolton Wanderers may have the stronger overall position, but Preston North End remain well placed to make the game competitive.
The prospect of both teams scoring is finely balanced, which adds uncertainty to the match pattern. Bolton Wanderers could look to use home advantage to establish control, while Preston North End may focus on staying compact and exploiting opportunities when possession changes hands. The clearest cautious interpretation is that the hosts hold a narrow advantage, with a draw also a credible outcome. This points towards a close, competitive fixture rather than one likely to be decided comfortably by either side.
What matters before kick-off
Bolton's return to the Championship
Bolton Wanderers returned to the Championship for the first time since 2019 after winning the League One play-off final 4-1 against Stockport County.
Preston North End's league context
Preston North End entered their 12th consecutive Championship campaign after finishing 14th in the division last season.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.