Union de Santa Fe — Instituto AC Cordoba: Win probabilities, 06.09.2026
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 67.9% |
| 12 | 69.0% | |
| X2 | 63.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 48.7% / 51.3% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 88.8% / 11.2% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 69.0% / 31.0% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 41.1% / 58.9% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 20.6% / 79.4% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 8.7% / 91.3% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 3.1% / 96.9% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Match preview
Union de Santa Fe and Instituto AC Cordoba appear evenly matched ahead of this Primera LPF, Clausura meeting. The available assessment points to a moderate level of confidence rather than a decisive lean, with neither side clearly stronger. That balance suggests a game likely to be shaped by small details, particularly how each team manages the periods when possession and territory are contested.
The scoring outlook is medium, with 1:1 the most representative projected score, while 0:0 and 1:0 are also plausible. Both teams scoring is viewed as a coin flip, so the match could develop into an open exchange or remain cautious for long stretches. Union de Santa Fe may hold a slight practical advantage from playing at home, but the overall picture remains close, and a draw is a realistic outcome alongside a narrow result for either side.
What matters before kick-off
Recent team results
In round 7 of the 2026 Clausura, Union de Santa Fe recorded a 4-1 victory over Sarmiento, while Instituto AC Cordoba secured a 1-0 win against San Lorenzo.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
Prediction questions
We remove the bookmaker margin from market odds, estimate each team’s expected goals and build one matrix of possible scores. Outcomes, totals, both teams to score and likely scores all come from that matrix.
Fair odds are one divided by the probability of the main signal. They are a mathematical reference without bookmaker margin, not an offer from a particular bookmaker.
The official prediction is locked before kick-off and is never rewritten after publication. After the final whistle it is checked against the result and added to the public record.
AI does not calculate or change probabilities. It explains the mathematical output in plain language, and the model used is shown next to the analysis.