CA Talleres de Cordoba — CA Lanus: Win probabilities, 09.08.2026
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 73.9% |
| 12 | 66.2% | |
| X2 | 60.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 37.1% / 62.9% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 83.5% / 16.5% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 56.6% / 43.4% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 28.7% / 71.3% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 11.9% / 88.1% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 4.1% / 95.9% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 1.2% / 98.8% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Match preview
CA Talleres de Cordoba enter this Primera LPF, Clausura fixture with a slight but clear edge over CA Lanus. The available assessment points toward a cautious contest, with the home side better placed to control the match without a strong expectation of an open attacking exchange. That advantage is meaningful, though the overall profile still suggests a closely contested game.
Low scoring is the central theme, and a clean sheet appears more likely than both teams finding the net. The most plausible scorelines are 0:0, 1:0, and 1:1, which underlines the narrow margin between the sides. CA Talleres de Cordoba may have enough control to avoid defeat, while CA Lanus remain capable of keeping the game level if they defend compactly. The strongest reading is therefore in favour of the hosts, but within a restrained match where one decisive moment could shape the outcome.
What matters before kick-off
Talleres high-scoring win in preceding round
Talleres de Cordoba enter the match following a 4-0 away victory over Platense in the previous round of the Torneo Clausura.
Lanús travel schedule for Cordoba match
CA Lanús confirmed their official travel itinerary to Córdoba for the fourth-round Torneo Clausura fixture against CA Talleres.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
Prediction questions
We remove the bookmaker margin from market odds, estimate each team’s expected goals and build one matrix of possible scores. Outcomes, totals, both teams to score and likely scores all come from that matrix.
Fair odds are one divided by the probability of the main signal. They are a mathematical reference without bookmaker margin, not an offer from a particular bookmaker.
The official prediction is locked before kick-off and is never rewritten after publication. After the final whistle it is checked against the result and added to the public record.
AI does not calculate or change probabilities. It explains the mathematical output in plain language, and the model used is shown next to the analysis.