Union Berlin — Eintracht Frankfurt: Win probabilities, 29.08.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 62.5% |
| 12 | 73.9% | |
| X2 | 63.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 64.7% / 35.3% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 94.5% / 5.5% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 83.9% / 16.1% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 61.6% / 38.4% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 39.3% / 60.7% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 21.6% / 78.4% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 10.3% / 89.7% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 29.08.2026
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 16.05.2026 home Augsburg 4:0
- 10.05.2026 away Mainz 3:1
- 02.05.2026 home FC Koln 2:2
- 24.04.2026 away RB Leipzig 1:3
- 18.04.2026 home Wolfsburg 1:2
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 16.05.2026 home Stuttgart 2:2
- 08.05.2026 away Dortmund 2:3
- 02.05.2026 home Hamburg 1:2
- 25.04.2026 away Augsburg 1:1
- 18.04.2026 home RB Leipzig 1:3
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 06.02.2026 Union Berlin 1:1 Eintracht Frankfurt
- 21.09.2025 Eintracht Frankfurt 3:4 Union Berlin
- 09.03.2025 Eintracht Frankfurt 1:2 Union Berlin
- 27.10.2024 Union Berlin 1:1 Eintracht Frankfurt
- 30.03.2024 Eintracht Frankfurt 0:0 Union Berlin
- 04.11.2023 Union Berlin 0:3 Eintracht Frankfurt
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Union Berlin and Eintracht Frankfurt look evenly matched ahead of their Bundesliga meeting on 29 August 2026. The available assessment gives neither side a clear advantage, with a moderate level of confidence pointing toward a competitive contest rather than a one-sided encounter. Both teams should have periods of control, and the balance may depend on which side is more effective when possession changes hands.
The broader expectation is for an open, high-scoring match in which both Union Berlin and Eintracht Frankfurt are likely to find the net. That points toward a game with attacking intent and opportunities at both ends, while also leaving room for the result to shift late. A draw is a credible outcome, although a narrow victory for either team would also fit the balanced outlook.
What matters before kick-off
Bundesliga Season Opener
Union Berlin and Eintracht Frankfurt meet at the Stadion An der Alten Försterei on Matchday 1 of the 2026/27 Bundesliga season. Both teams enter the fixture having won their respective first-round DFB-Pokal matches.
New Head Coaches
The match marks the new Bundesliga season debut for both Union Berlin head coach Mauro Lustrinelli and returning Eintracht Frankfurt manager Adi Hütter.
Confirmed Team Captains
Defender Christopher Trimmel remains Union Berlin captain under Mauro Lustrinelli, while Robin Koch continues as team captain for Eintracht Frankfurt.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.