Udinese Calcio — Como 1907: Win probabilities, 22.08.2026
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 47.0% |
| 12 | 74.2% | |
| X2 | 78.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 47.3% / 52.7% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 91.3% / 8.7% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 71.1% / 28.9% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 45.0% / 55.0% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 23.7% / 76.3% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 10.6% / 89.4% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 4.0% / 96.0% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Match preview
Udinese Calcio host Como 1907 in Serie A, with the pre-match assessment giving the visitors a slight edge and a high level of confidence in that direction. The overall signal points toward Como avoiding defeat, although the balance does not rule out a draw. This suggests a competitive match in which Udinese Calcio will need to make effective use of home advantage to shift the contest in their favour.
The expected scoring pattern is medium-scoring, while the prospect of both teams finding the net is evenly balanced. That leaves room for different match scenarios: Como 1907 could win a controlled game by a narrow margin, but a draw also fits the assessment. Udinese Calcio may look to keep the game close and limit Como’s attacking influence, whereas the visitors appear slightly better placed to turn their opportunities into a positive result. Overall, Como 1907 hold the clearer, though still measured, advantage.
Other matches
Prediction questions
We remove the bookmaker margin from market odds, estimate each team’s expected goals and build one matrix of possible scores. Outcomes, totals, both teams to score and likely scores all come from that matrix.
Fair odds are one divided by the probability of the main signal. They are a mathematical reference without bookmaker margin, not an offer from a particular bookmaker.
The official prediction is locked before kick-off and is never rewritten after publication. After the final whistle it is checked against the result and added to the public record.
AI does not calculate or change probabilities. It explains the mathematical output in plain language, and the model used is shown next to the analysis.