Udinese Calcio — Como 1907: Win probabilities, 22.08.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 46.9% |
| 12 | 73.8% | |
| X2 | 79.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 50.0% / 50.0% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 91.7% / 8.3% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 73.8% / 26.2% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 47.8% / 52.2% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 26.1% / 73.9% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 12.1% / 87.9% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 4.8% / 95.2% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 22.08.2026
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 24.05.2026 away Napoli 0:1
- 17.05.2026 home Cremonese 0:1
- 09.05.2026 away Cagliari 2:0
- 02.05.2026 home Torino 2:0
- 27.04.2026 away Lazio 3:3
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 24.05.2026 away Cremonese 4:1
- 17.05.2026 home Parma 1:0
- 10.05.2026 away Verona 1:0
- 02.05.2026 home Napoli 0:0
- 26.04.2026 away Genoa 2:0
Head-to-head · Last 4 meetings
- 06.04.2026 Udinese Calcio 0:0 Como 1907
- 03.01.2026 Como 1907 1:0 Udinese Calcio
- 20.01.2025 Como 1907 4:1 Udinese Calcio
- 01.09.2024 Udinese Calcio 1:0 Como 1907
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Udinese Calcio welcome Como 1907 in Serie A on 22 August 2026, with the available indicators pointing towards a contest in which the visitors hold a slight but credible edge. The assessment favours Como 1907 in the overall result, while also keeping the draw firmly in consideration. That suggests Udinese Calcio may remain competitive, but Como 1907 appear better placed to avoid defeat.
The scoring outlook is medium, rather than strongly open or particularly cautious. Both teams scoring is viewed as finely balanced, so the match could develop in either direction depending on which side makes better use of its opportunities. The most plausible scorelines include 1-1, 0-1 and 0-2, reflecting a range from a shared result to a narrow or more controlled Como 1907 victory. Overall, the main analytical signal is towards Como 1907 avoiding defeat, with Udinese Calcio needing a disciplined performance to turn the balance in their favour.
What matters before kick-off
Serie A season opener
Udinese and Como 1907 kick off their new Serie A campaign with a head-to-head match at the Bluenergy Stadium in Udine.
Suspension and injury news
Udinese defender Christian Kabasele is missing through suspension, while Como 1907 forward Jayden Addai is out injured.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.