Frosinone Calcio — Juventus Turin: Win probabilities, 23.08.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 31.4% |
| 12 | 80.1% | |
| X2 | 88.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 52.9% / 47.1% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 94.7% / 5.3% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 83.3% / 16.7% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 61.0% / 39.0% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 38.7% / 61.3% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 21.1% / 78.9% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 10.0% / 90.0% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Match preview
Frosinone Calcio face Juventus Turin in a Serie A contest where the visitors appear clearly stronger, although the moderate confidence level suggests some caution rather than certainty. Juventus Turin are favoured to control more of the match and create the better opportunities, while Frosinone Calcio will need to remain compact and make the most of their chances when they arise.
The scoring outlook points towards an open game with several goals possible. Whether both teams find the net is less clear, so the match could develop in different ways depending on the first goal. The most plausible scorelines are 0:2 and 1:2, both reflecting the visitors’ advantage, while 1:1 represents a credible alternative if Frosinone Calcio can limit Juventus Turin’s attacking influence. Overall, the balance of the indicators points towards an away win, but not one that should be treated as assured.
What matters before kick-off
Frosinone's cup campaign kick-off
Newly promoted Frosinone opened their competitive season with a 4-1 victory over Juve Stabia in the first round of the Coppa Italia.
Luciano Spalletti's competitive debut
The match against Frosinone marks Luciano Spalletti's first competitive game in charge of Juventus.
Head-to-head record
In 9 competitive meetings between the two sides, Juventus remain undefeated against Frosinone, recording 8 wins and 1 draw.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
Prediction questions
We remove the bookmaker margin from market odds, estimate each team’s expected goals and build one matrix of possible scores. Outcomes, totals, both teams to score and likely scores all come from that matrix.
Fair odds are one divided by the probability of the main signal. They are a mathematical reference without bookmaker margin, not an offer from a particular bookmaker.
The official prediction is locked before kick-off and is never rewritten after publication. After the final whistle it is checked against the result and added to the public record.
AI does not calculate or change probabilities. It explains the mathematical output in plain language, and the model used is shown next to the analysis.