Frosinone Calcio — Juventus Turin: Win probabilities, 23.08.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 31.4% |
| 12 | 80.1% | |
| X2 | 88.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 52.9% / 47.1% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 94.7% / 5.3% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 83.3% / 16.7% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 61.0% / 39.0% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 38.7% / 61.3% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 21.1% / 78.9% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 10.0% / 90.0% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 23.08.2026
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 08.05.2026 home Mantova 5:0
- 01.05.2026 away Juve Stabia 1:0
- 25.04.2026 home Carrarese 3:0
- 18.04.2026 away Modena 2:1
- 10.04.2026 home Palermo 1:1
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 24.05.2026 away Torino 2:2
- 17.05.2026 home Fiorentina 0:2
- 09.05.2026 away Lecce 1:0
- 03.05.2026 home Verona 1:1
- 26.04.2026 away Milan 0:0
Head-to-head · Last 2 meetings
- 25.02.2024 Juventus Turin 3:2 Frosinone Calcio
- 23.12.2023 Frosinone Calcio 1:2 Juventus Turin
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Frosinone Calcio face Juventus Turin in a Serie A contest where the visitors appear clearly stronger, although the moderate confidence level suggests some caution rather than certainty. Juventus Turin are favoured to control more of the match and create the better opportunities, while Frosinone Calcio will need to remain compact and make the most of their chances when they arise.
The scoring outlook points towards an open game with several goals possible. Whether both teams find the net is less clear, so the match could develop in different ways depending on the first goal. The most plausible scorelines are 0:2 and 1:2, both reflecting the visitors’ advantage, while 1:1 represents a credible alternative if Frosinone Calcio can limit Juventus Turin’s attacking influence. Overall, the balance of the indicators points towards an away win, but not one that should be treated as assured.
What matters before kick-off
Frosinone's cup campaign kick-off
Newly promoted Frosinone opened their competitive season with a 4-1 victory over Juve Stabia in the first round of the Coppa Italia.
Luciano Spalletti's competitive debut
The match against Frosinone marks Luciano Spalletti's first competitive game in charge of Juventus.
Head-to-head record
In 9 competitive meetings between the two sides, Juventus remain undefeated against Frosinone, recording 8 wins and 1 draw.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.