Frosinone Calcio — Juventus Turin: Win probabilities, 23.08.2026
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 34.7% |
| 12 | 77.3% | |
| X2 | 88.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 46.3% / 53.7% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 92.3% / 7.7% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 76.6% / 23.4% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 51.1% / 48.9% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 29.0% / 71.0% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 14.0% / 86.0% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 5.8% / 94.2% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Match preview
Frosinone Calcio host Juventus Turin in Serie A, with the available assessment giving Juventus a clear but not overwhelming advantage. The moderate confidence level points toward an away victory as the leading scenario, while leaving room for a more competitive match than the overall balance might suggest. Frosinone Calcio will need to stay compact and make efficient use of their opportunities, whereas Juventus Turin are rated as the stronger side entering this fixture.
The expected profile is medium-scoring rather than an especially open contest. The assessment places the possibility of both teams scoring close to an even split, so the match could develop in more than one direction depending on the early exchanges. The main scoreline indications favour Juventus Turin winning without conceding, with 0:2 and 0:1 among the leading possibilities, while 1:1 represents the principal alternative. Overall, the evidence supports a Juventus Turin edge, but not a result that should be treated as certain.
Other matches
Prediction questions
We remove the bookmaker margin from market odds, estimate each team’s expected goals and build one matrix of possible scores. Outcomes, totals, both teams to score and likely scores all come from that matrix.
Fair odds are one divided by the probability of the main signal. They are a mathematical reference without bookmaker margin, not an offer from a particular bookmaker.
The official prediction is locked before kick-off and is never rewritten after publication. After the final whistle it is checked against the result and added to the public record.
AI does not calculate or change probabilities. It explains the mathematical output in plain language, and the model used is shown next to the analysis.