Trabzonspor — Gaziantep FK: Win probabilities, 01.11.2026
Mathematical model
Odds updated
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
W1
76.6%
Home win
Trabzonspor
X
14.9%
Draw
W2
8.6%
Away win
Gaziantep FK
Market matrix
Markets
Double chance
1X91.4%
Both teams to score
No51.7%
Totals 2.5
Over64.0%
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 91.4% |
| 12 | 85.1% | |
| X2 | 23.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 48.3% / 51.7% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 96.3% / 3.7% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 84.1% / 15.9% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 64.0% / 36.0% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 41.9% / 58.1% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 23.7% / 76.3% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 11.7% / 88.3% |
Goal distribution model
Trabzonspor × Gaziantep FK
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Home↘Away
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
3.7%
0:1
2.7%
0:2
1.0%
0:3
0.3%
0:4
0.0%
0:5
0.0%
1
1:0
9.4%
1:1
7.0%
1:2
2.6%
1:3
0.6%
1:4
0.1%
1:5
0.0%
2
2:0
12.1%
2:1
9.0%
2:2
3.3%
2:3
0.8%
2:4
0.2%
2:5
0.0%
3
3:0
10.3%
3:1
7.6%
3:2
2.8%
3:3
0.7%
3:4
0.1%
3:5
0.0%
4
4:0
6.6%
4:1
4.9%
4:2
1.8%
4:3
0.4%
4:4
0.1%
4:5
0.0%
5
5:0
3.4%
5:1
2.5%
5:2
0.9%
5:3
0.2%
5:4
0.0%
5:5
0.0%
Most likely scores
2:012.1%
3:010.3%
1:09.4%
2:19.0%
3:17.6%
Match data
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 01.11.2026
Trabzonspor
3rd place · 19 pts after 9Last 5 matches · latest first
- 26.10.2026 away Rizespor 4:3
- 19.10.2026 home Besiktas 2:0
- 10.10.2026 away Samsunspor 3:0
- 19.09.2026 home Galatasaray 4:0
- 12.09.2026 away Konyaspor 0:1
Gaziantep FK
15th place · 8 pts after 9Last 5 matches · latest first
- 24.10.2026 home Erzurumspor 1:3
- 18.10.2026 away Buyuksehyr 1:2
- 11.10.2026 home Corum 0:3
- 19.09.2026 away Kocaelispor 0:2
- 14.09.2026 home Fenerbahce 0:0
This season: Trabzonspor at home vs Gaziantep FK away
| Metric | Trabzonspor · at home | Gaziantep FK · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 4 | 4 |
| W–D–L | 4–0–0 | 2–0–2 |
| Goals scored per match | 3.25 | 1.50 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.25 | 1.50 |
| xG for per match | 2.53 | 1.17 |
| xG against per match | 1.22 | 1.66 |
| Shots on target per match | 8.25 | 3.75 |
| Corners per match | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 75% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 25% | 50% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
Trabzonspor wins4
Draws2
Gaziantep FK wins0
Goals per match3.33
Both teams scored5/6
Over 2.5 goals4/6
- 22.02.2026 Gaziantep FK 1:2 Trabzonspor
- 20.09.2025 Trabzonspor 1:1 Gaziantep FK
- 23.02.2025 Trabzonspor 3:2 Gaziantep FK
- 23.09.2024 Gaziantep FK 0:0 Trabzonspor
- 28.04.2024 Trabzonspor 4:2 Gaziantep FK
- 10.12.2023 Gaziantep FK 1:3 Trabzonspor
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Odds movement
| W1 | was 1.37 → now 1.27 |
| X | was 5.00 → now 5.50 |
| W2 | was 7.50 → now 9.00 |
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