Fenerbahce Istanbul — Goztepe Izmir: Win probabilities, 31.10.2026
Mathematical model
Odds updated
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
W1
74.6%
Home win
Fenerbahce Istanbul
X
15.7%
Draw
W2
9.8%
Away win
Goztepe Izmir
Market matrix
Markets
Double chance
1X90.2%
Both teams to score
Yes53.5%
Totals 2.5
Over67.1%
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 90.2% |
| 12 | 84.3% | |
| X2 | 25.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 53.5% / 46.5% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 96.6% / 3.4% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 86.2% / 13.8% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 67.1% / 32.9% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 45.4% / 54.6% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 26.7% / 73.3% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 13.7% / 86.3% |
Goal distribution model
Fenerbahce Istanbul × Goztepe Izmir
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Home↘Away
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
3.4%
0:1
2.5%
0:2
1.2%
0:3
0.3%
0:4
0.1%
0:5
0.0%
1
1:0
8.0%
1:1
7.3%
1:2
3.0%
1:3
0.9%
1:4
0.2%
1:5
0.0%
2
2:0
10.7%
2:1
9.1%
2:2
3.9%
2:3
1.1%
2:4
0.2%
2:5
0.0%
3
3:0
9.3%
3:1
7.9%
3:2
3.4%
3:3
1.0%
3:4
0.2%
3:5
0.0%
4
4:0
6.0%
4:1
5.2%
4:2
2.2%
4:3
0.6%
4:4
0.1%
4:5
0.0%
5
5:0
3.1%
5:1
2.7%
5:2
1.1%
5:3
0.3%
5:4
0.1%
5:5
0.0%
Most likely scores
2:010.7%
3:09.3%
2:19.1%
1:08.0%
3:17.9%
Match data
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 31.10.2026
Fenerbahce Istanbul
5th place · 16 pts after 9Last 5 matches · latest first
- 26.10.2026 away Galatasaray 1:2
- 17.10.2026 home Alanyaspor 3:0
- 10.10.2026 away Rizespor 3:0
- 20.09.2026 home Eyupspor 8:0
- 14.09.2026 away Gaziantep 0:0
Goztepe Izmir
10th place · 12 pts after 9Last 5 matches · latest first
- 25.10.2026 home Corum 2:0
- 18.10.2026 away Kocaelispor 2:1
- 12.10.2026 away Eyupspor 4:0
- 20.09.2026 home Rizespor 2:2
- 12.09.2026 away Alanyaspor 2:2
This season: Fenerbahce Istanbul at home vs Goztepe Izmir away
| Metric | Fenerbahce Istanbul · at home | Goztepe Izmir · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 4 | 5 |
| W–D–L | 3–0–1 | 2–2–1 |
| Goals scored per match | 4.00 | 2.60 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| xG for per match | 2.98 | 1.67 |
| xG against per match | 1.40 | 2.08 |
| Shots on target per match | 7.75 | 5.00 |
| Corners per match | 5.25 | 4.20 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 100% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 80% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
Fenerbahce Istanbul wins2
Draws4
Goztepe Izmir wins0
Goals per match2.50
Both teams scored4/6
Over 2.5 goals2/6
- 25.01.2026 Fenerbahce Istanbul 1:1 Goztepe Izmir
- 16.08.2025 Goztepe Izmir 0:0 Fenerbahce Istanbul
- 26.01.2025 Fenerbahce Istanbul 3:2 Goztepe Izmir
- 17.08.2024 Goztepe Izmir 2:2 Fenerbahce Istanbul
- 16.04.2022 Fenerbahce Istanbul 2:0 Goztepe Izmir
- 29.11.2021 Goztepe Izmir 1:1 Fenerbahce Istanbul
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
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