Erzurumspor FK — Corum FK: Win probabilities, 31.10.2026
Mathematical model
Odds updated
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
W1
37.2%
Home win
Erzurumspor FK
X
27.5%
Draw
W2
35.3%
Away win
Corum FK
Market matrix
Markets
Double chance
1272.5%
Both teams to score
Yes55.2%
Totals 2.5
Over50.0%
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 64.7% |
| 12 | 72.5% | |
| X2 | 62.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 55.2% / 44.8% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 92.3% / 7.7% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 75.5% / 24.5% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 50.0% / 50.0% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 28.0% / 72.0% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 13.3% / 86.7% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 5.5% / 94.5% |
Goal distribution model
Erzurumspor FK × Corum FK
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Home↘Away
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
7.7%
0:1
8.3%
0:2
6.0%
0:3
2.6%
0:4
0.9%
0:5
0.2%
1
1:0
8.6%
1:1
13.1%
1:2
8.1%
1:3
3.6%
1:4
1.2%
1:5
0.3%
2
2:0
6.4%
2:1
8.4%
2:2
5.5%
2:3
2.4%
2:4
0.8%
2:5
0.2%
3
3:0
2.9%
3:1
3.8%
3:2
2.5%
3:3
1.1%
3:4
0.4%
3:5
0.1%
4
4:0
1.0%
4:1
1.3%
4:2
0.8%
4:3
0.4%
4:4
0.1%
4:5
0.0%
5
5:0
0.3%
5:1
0.3%
5:2
0.2%
5:3
0.1%
5:4
0.0%
5:5
0.0%
Most likely scores
1:113.1%
1:08.6%
2:18.4%
0:18.3%
1:28.1%
Match data
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 31.10.2026
Erzurumspor FK
8th place · 14 pts after 9Last 5 matches · latest first
- 24.10.2026 away Gaziantep 3:1
- 17.10.2026 home Eyupspor 2:0
- 10.10.2026 away Alanyaspor 0:0
- 20.09.2026 home Samsunspor 1:0
- 11.09.2026 away Besiktas 0:3
Corum FK
9th place · 13 pts after 9Last 5 matches · latest first
- 25.10.2026 away Goztep 0:2
- 16.10.2026 home Rizespor 2:1
- 11.10.2026 away Gaziantep 3:0
- 19.09.2026 home Alanyaspor 1:2
- 12.09.2026 away Samsunspor 5:1
This season: Erzurumspor FK at home vs Corum FK away
| Metric | Erzurumspor FK · at home | Corum FK · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 4 | 5 |
| W–D–L | 3–0–1 | 2–1–2 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.00 | 2.40 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.00 | 2.20 |
| xG for per match | 0.87 | 1.23 |
| xG against per match | 1.33 | 2.00 |
| Shots on target per match | 3.25 | 5.20 |
| Corners per match | 3.00 | 3.40 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 25% | 80% |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 60% |
Head-to-head
No previous meetings found in the available data.
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Odds movement
| W1 | was 2.70 → now 2.50 |
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