Konyaspor — Galatasaray Istanbul: Win probabilities, 30.10.2026
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 40.6% |
| 12 | 78.4% | |
| X2 | 81.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 55.5% / 44.5% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 95.0% / 5.0% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 80.3% / 19.7% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 57.9% / 42.1% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 35.5% / 64.5% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 18.7% / 81.3% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 8.5% / 91.5% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 30.10.2026
Konyaspor
14th place · 8 pts after 9Last 5 matches · latest first
- 25.10.2026 home Genclerbirligi 2:0
- 17.10.2026 away Amedspor 0:1
- 11.10.2026 home Buyuksehyr 0:0
- 18.09.2026 away Kasimpasa 0:0
- 12.09.2026 home Trabzonspor 1:0
Galatasaray Istanbul
1st place · 22 pts after 9Last 5 matches · latest first
- 26.10.2026 home Fenerbahce 2:1
- 17.10.2026 away Genclerbirligi 1:0
- 09.10.2026 home Kasimpasa 3:1
- 19.09.2026 away Trabzonspor 0:4
- 13.09.2026 home Kocaelispor 1:0
This season: Konyaspor at home vs Galatasaray Istanbul away
| Metric | Konyaspor · at home | Galatasaray Istanbul · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 5 | 4 |
| W–D–L | 2–1–2 | 3–0–1 |
| Goals scored per match | 0.80 | 2.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.60 | 1.50 |
| xG for per match | 1.04 | 2.00 |
| xG against per match | 1.07 | 1.62 |
| Shots on target per match | 3.60 | 4.25 |
| Corners per match | 3.40 | 5.50 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 20% | 75% |
| Both teams scored | 20% | 25% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 21.02.2026 Konyaspor 2:0 Galatasaray Istanbul
- 22.09.2025 Galatasaray Istanbul 3:1 Konyaspor
- 25.01.2025 Galatasaray Istanbul 1:0 Konyaspor
- 16.08.2024 Konyaspor 1:2 Galatasaray Istanbul
- 26.05.2024 Konyaspor 1:3 Galatasaray Istanbul
- 07.01.2024 Galatasaray Istanbul 3:0 Konyaspor
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Konyaspor come into this meeting in mixed but relatively stable form, with two wins, two draws and one defeat from their last five matches. At home, they have also been balanced, taking two wins, one draw and two losses from five games. Their defensive record in those recent matches is solid, with one goal conceded, while their overall league position remains 14th after nine games.
Galatasaray Istanbul have the stronger overall profile. They sit top of the league with 22 points and have won four of their last five matches. Their away record is also positive, with three wins from four games and eight goals scored. Across the six most recent head-to-head meetings, Galatasaray Istanbul have won five, although Konyaspor won the latest encounter 2-0 in 2026.
The overall balance gives Galatasaray Istanbul a slight edge, but the low confidence level reflects a matchup that is not one-sided. Both teams have created and allowed chances at roughly similar levels in their respective home and away settings, so Konyaspor should have opportunities to compete. A medium-scoring game looks reasonable, with the result likely to depend on which side makes better use of its chances.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.