Kocaelispor — Caykur Rizespor: Win probabilities, 31.10.2026
Mathematical model
Odds updated
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
W1
34.3%
Home win
Kocaelispor
X
26.8%
Draw
W2
38.9%
Away win
Caykur Rizespor
Market matrix
Markets
Double chance
1273.2%
Both teams to score
Yes57.2%
Totals 2.5
Over52.7%
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 61.1% |
| 12 | 73.2% | |
| X2 | 65.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 57.2% / 42.8% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 93.1% / 6.9% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 77.4% / 22.6% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 52.7% / 47.3% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 30.5% / 69.5% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 15.0% / 85.0% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 6.4% / 93.6% |
Goal distribution model
Kocaelispor × Caykur Rizespor
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Home↘Away
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
6.9%
0:1
8.2%
0:2
6.4%
0:3
3.1%
0:4
1.1%
0:5
0.3%
1
1:0
7.5%
1:1
12.7%
1:2
8.6%
1:3
4.2%
1:4
1.5%
1:5
0.4%
2
2:0
5.6%
2:1
8.0%
2:2
5.8%
2:3
2.8%
2:4
1.0%
2:5
0.3%
3
3:0
2.5%
3:1
3.6%
3:2
2.6%
3:3
1.2%
3:4
0.5%
3:5
0.1%
4
4:0
0.8%
4:1
1.2%
4:2
0.9%
4:3
0.4%
4:4
0.2%
4:5
0.0%
5
5:0
0.2%
5:1
0.3%
5:2
0.2%
5:3
0.1%
5:4
0.0%
5:5
0.0%
Most likely scores
1:112.7%
1:28.6%
0:18.2%
2:18.0%
1:07.5%
Match data
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 31.10.2026
Kocaelispor
7th place · 15 pts after 9Last 5 matches · latest first
- 23.10.2026 away Alanyaspor 2:1
- 18.10.2026 home Goztep 1:2
- 11.10.2026 away Besiktas 1:2
- 19.09.2026 home Gaziantep 2:0
- 13.09.2026 away Galatasaray 0:1
Caykur Rizespor
13th place · 10 pts after 9Last 5 matches · latest first
- 26.10.2026 home Trabzonspor 3:4
- 16.10.2026 away Corum 1:2
- 10.10.2026 home Fenerbahce 0:3
- 20.09.2026 away Goztep 2:2
- 12.09.2026 away Eyupspor 2:0
This season: Kocaelispor at home vs Caykur Rizespor away
| Metric | Kocaelispor · at home | Caykur Rizespor · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 4 | 5 |
| W–D–L | 3–0–1 | 3–1–1 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.50 | 1.60 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.50 | 1.00 |
| xG for per match | 1.42 | 1.22 |
| xG against per match | 1.01 | 1.27 |
| Shots on target per match | 4.00 | 4.20 |
| Corners per match | 3.25 | 4.00 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 25% | 60% |
| Both teams scored | 25% | 60% |
Head-to-head · Last 2 meetings
Kocaelispor wins0
Draws1
Caykur Rizespor wins1
Goals per match2.00
Both teams scored1/2
Over 2.5 goals0/2
- 20.02.2026 Caykur Rizespor 2:0 Kocaelispor
- 21.09.2025 Kocaelispor 1:1 Caykur Rizespor
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Odds movement
| X | was 3.30 → now 3.40 |
| W2 | was 2.60 → now 2.40 |
Check current terms · 1WIN18+
Bonus up to $500
Sports betting, live markets and mobile app. Available only to users of legal gambling age in eligible regions.
Check available odds ↗
Other matches
Tools
Check the numbers before deciding
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.