SV Zulte Waregem — KRC Genk: Win probabilities, 09.08.2026
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 54.6% |
| 12 | 72.9% | |
| X2 | 72.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 55.7% / 44.3% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 92.5% / 7.5% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 76.9% / 23.1% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 51.6% / 48.4% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 29.5% / 70.5% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 14.3% / 85.7% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 6.0% / 94.0% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Match preview
SV Zulte Waregem face KRC Genk in a First Division A match that looks competitive, although the visitors hold the clearer edge in the overall assessment. Genk are favoured to avoid defeat, but the gap between the sides is not large enough to make this a one-sided contest. Zulte Waregem should remain within reach, particularly if they can keep the match balanced during the early stages.
The scoring outlook is medium, with the most likely scenarios ranging from a narrow Genk win to a draw. The suggested scorelines of 1-1, 1-2 and 0-1 point to a match that could be decided by fine margins rather than sustained dominance. Both teams scoring remains difficult to call, so the attacking contribution of each side is a genuine uncertainty. Overall, KRC Genk have the stronger position, while SV Zulte Waregem retain a realistic chance of taking something from the match.
Other matches
Prediction questions
We remove the bookmaker margin from market odds, estimate each team’s expected goals and build one matrix of possible scores. Outcomes, totals, both teams to score and likely scores all come from that matrix.
Fair odds are one divided by the probability of the main signal. They are a mathematical reference without bookmaker margin, not an offer from a particular bookmaker.
The official prediction is locked before kick-off and is never rewritten after publication. After the final whistle it is checked against the result and added to the public record.
AI does not calculate or change probabilities. It explains the mathematical output in plain language, and the model used is shown next to the analysis.