SV Zulte Waregem — KRC Genk: Win probabilities, 09.08.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 54.5% |
| 12 | 75.5% | |
| X2 | 70.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 60.7% / 39.3% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 94.8% / 5.2% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 81.1% / 18.9% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 58.5% / 41.5% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 36.1% / 63.9% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 19.1% / 80.9% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 8.8% / 91.2% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 09.08.2026
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 09.05.2026 home Dender 2:1
- 01.05.2026 away Cercle Brugge 3:2
- 26.04.2026 home RAAL La Louviere 4:0
- 19.04.2026 away RAAL La Louviere 2:0
- 12.04.2026 away Dender 2:1
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 23.05.2026 away Oud-Heverlee Leuven 2:0
- 19.05.2026 home Antwerp 0:0
- 16.05.2026 away Standard 0:0
- 10.05.2026 home Westerlo 3:0
- 02.05.2026 away Charleroi 0:2
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 17.01.2026 SV Zulte Waregem 2:1 KRC Genk
- 31.08.2025 KRC Genk 3:2 SV Zulte Waregem
- 14.01.2023 KRC Genk 1:0 SV Zulte Waregem
- 14.08.2022 SV Zulte Waregem 1:4 KRC Genk
- 06.02.2022 KRC Genk 2:0 SV Zulte Waregem
- 31.10.2021 SV Zulte Waregem 2:6 KRC Genk
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
SV Zulte Waregem face KRC Genk in a First Division A meeting where the visitors hold a slight edge, although the moderate confidence level suggests a competitive contest rather than a one-sided affair. KRC Genk appear better placed to control important phases of the match, but SV Zulte Waregem should have opportunities to make the game uncomfortable, particularly if they can maintain pressure and turn possession into chances.
The scoring outlook is medium, with both teams likely to find the net. That points towards an open enough match without suggesting a constant flow of clear opportunities. SV Zulte Waregem will need defensive concentration to limit KRC Genk's attacking threat, while KRC Genk must avoid allowing the hosts to gain momentum in the final third. Overall, the balance of the assessment favours KRC Genk avoiding defeat, with a draw remaining a credible outcome if SV Zulte Waregem can make better use of their chances.
What matters before kick-off
Pro League season opener
The matchday 1 fixture of the 2026/27 Belgian Pro League season between SV Zulte Waregem and KRC Genk takes place at the Elindus Arena.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.
