KVC Westerlo — Union Saint-Gilloise: Win probabilities, 08.08.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 41.4% |
| 12 | 78.1% | |
| X2 | 80.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 50.7% / 49.3% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 94.1% / 5.9% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 75.9% / 24.1% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 52.2% / 47.8% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 30.0% / 70.0% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 14.7% / 85.3% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 6.2% / 93.8% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 08.08.2026
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 23.05.2026 away Antwerp 0:2
- 19.05.2026 home Standard 1:2
- 16.05.2026 away Charleroi 1:0
- 10.05.2026 away Genk 0:3
- 02.05.2026 home Oud-Heverlee Leuven 3:3
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 24.05.2026 home Anderlecht 5:1
- 21.05.2026 away Gent 0:0
- 17.05.2026 away Club Brugge 0:5
- 10.05.2026 home Mechelen 3:0
- 02.05.2026 away St Truiden 1:2
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 01.03.2026 KVC Westerlo 0:0 Union Saint-Gilloise
- 27.09.2025 Union Saint-Gilloise 2:0 KVC Westerlo
- 15.12.2024 Union Saint-Gilloise 3:1 KVC Westerlo
- 10.08.2024 KVC Westerlo 4:3 Union Saint-Gilloise
- 10.02.2024 Union Saint-Gilloise 2:2 KVC Westerlo
- 29.10.2023 KVC Westerlo 1:3 Union Saint-Gilloise
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
KVC Westerlo face Union Saint-Gilloise in First Division A with the visitors holding a slight edge, although the low confidence level points to a contest with considerable uncertainty. The available assessment leans towards Union Saint-Gilloise, but it does not suggest a decisive difference between the teams. KVC Westerlo will therefore remain competitive if they can keep the match balanced and limit the visitors’ opportunities.
A medium-scoring game is the most likely overall profile. The expectation that both teams will score is evenly balanced, so there is no clear indication that either side will necessarily find the net. The projected scorelines include a narrow Union Saint-Gilloise win, a more comfortable away victory, and a draw, reflecting the range of plausible outcomes. On the evidence available, Union Saint-Gilloise deserve a marginal preference, but the match remains open and difficult to call with confidence.
What matters before kick-off
Union Saint-Gilloise's Champions League outing
Union Saint-Gilloise enters this First Division A match following a 3-3 draw against Norwegian side FK Bodø/Glimt on August 4, 2026, in the first leg of the UEFA Champions League third qualifying round.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.