Royal Charleroi SC — Oud-Heverlee Leuven: Win probabilities, 09.08.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 78.7% |
| 12 | 75.4% | |
| X2 | 45.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 52.8% / 47.2% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 93.1% / 6.9% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 76.5% / 23.5% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 51.8% / 48.2% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 29.7% / 70.3% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 14.4% / 85.6% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 6.1% / 93.9% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 09.08.2026
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 23.05.2026 away Standard 2:0
- 19.05.2026 home Oud-Heverlee Leuven 1:1
- 16.05.2026 home Westerlo 0:1
- 10.05.2026 away Antwerp 1:0
- 02.05.2026 home Genk 2:0
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 23.05.2026 home Genk 0:2
- 19.05.2026 away Charleroi 1:1
- 15.05.2026 home Antwerp 3:0
- 08.05.2026 away Standard 1:2
- 02.05.2026 away Westerlo 3:3
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 19.05.2026 Royal Charleroi SC 1:1 Oud-Heverlee Leuven
- 25.04.2026 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 0:2 Royal Charleroi SC
- 14.03.2026 Royal Charleroi SC 0:2 Oud-Heverlee Leuven
- 27.07.2025 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 2:2 Royal Charleroi SC
- 24.05.2025 Royal Charleroi SC 2:1 Oud-Heverlee Leuven
- 28.03.2025 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 0:0 Royal Charleroi SC
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Royal Charleroi SC host Oud-Heverlee Leuven in First Division A, with the home side holding a narrow advantage in the pre-match assessment. The signal points towards protection for the hosts, while the overall balance still leaves room for a draw. Royal Charleroi SC appear better placed, but the difference between the teams is not wide enough to make this a one-sided contest.
The expected scoring pattern is medium-scoring, with the most plausible scorelines including 1:1, 1:0 and 2:1. That range reflects a match likely to remain competitive, with Royal Charleroi SC having the stronger position but Oud-Heverlee Leuven capable of contributing to the result. Whether both teams score is difficult to separate, so the game could develop either as a narrow home win or a level encounter.
What matters before kick-off
Belgian Pro League Opening Match
Royal Charleroi SC face Oud-Heverlee Leuven at the Stade du Pays de Charleroi in the opening round of the 2026/27 Belgian Pro League season.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.