RSC Anderlecht — RAAL La Louviere: Win probabilities, 09.08.2026
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 80.7% |
| 12 | 74.6% | |
| X2 | 44.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 45.0% / 55.0% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 90.9% / 9.1% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 69.7% / 30.3% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 43.5% / 56.5% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 22.5% / 77.5% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 9.8% / 90.2% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 3.7% / 96.3% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Match preview
RSC Anderlecht have a slight edge over RAAL La Louviere in this First Division A meeting, but the low confidence level points to a closely contested match rather than a clear home advantage. Anderlecht may be better placed to control possession and territory, while La Louviere can remain competitive if they keep the game compact and limit space around their penalty area.
The scoring outlook is moderate, with the available assessment leaning toward a match below a high goal total. Whether both teams score is finely balanced, so neither side has a clear attacking or defensive advantage in that specific area. A narrow Anderlecht win and a draw both fit the overall picture, with the hosts needing patience and efficiency to turn their home advantage into a result.
Other matches
Prediction questions
We remove the bookmaker margin from market odds, estimate each team’s expected goals and build one matrix of possible scores. Outcomes, totals, both teams to score and likely scores all come from that matrix.
Fair odds are one divided by the probability of the main signal. They are a mathematical reference without bookmaker margin, not an offer from a particular bookmaker.
The official prediction is locked before kick-off and is never rewritten after publication. After the final whistle it is checked against the result and added to the public record.
AI does not calculate or change probabilities. It explains the mathematical output in plain language, and the model used is shown next to the analysis.