Match intelligence

RSC Anderlecht — RAAL La Louviere: Win probabilities, 09.08.2026

League: First Division A (Belgium) · Kick-off:

Full time

Final result

✓ Prediction hit
RSC Anderlecht2
:
1RAAL La Louviere
Locked signal W1 Probability 56.8% Verdict Hit
Mathematical model

Win probabilities

Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin

Odds updated
W1 56.8% Home win RSC Anderlecht
X 24.2% Draw
W2 18.9% Away win RAAL La Louviere
Market matrix

Markets

Double chance
1X82.0%
Both teams to score
Yes51.4%
Totals 2.5
Over51.8%

All calculated markets

MarketSelectionProbability
Double chance1X82.0%
1275.6%
X242.4%
Both teams to scoreYes/No51.4% / 48.6%
Totals 0.5 Over/Under 92.7% / 7.3%
Totals 1.5 Over/Under 76.8% / 23.2%
Totals 2.5 Over/Under 51.8% / 48.2%
Totals 3.5 Over/Under 29.6% / 70.4%
Totals 4.5 Over/Under 14.4% / 85.6%
Totals 5.5 Over/Under 6.0% / 94.0%
Goal distribution model

Score probability heatmap

Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally

RSC Anderlecht × RAAL La Louviere
Home↘Away
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0 7.3%
0:1 5.1%
0:2 2.7%
0:3 0.8%
0:4 0.2%
0:5 0.0%
1
1:0 10.9%
1:1 11.6%
1:2 5.0%
1:3 1.5%
1:4 0.4%
1:5 0.1%
2
2:0 10.6%
2:1 9.8%
2:2 4.6%
2:3 1.4%
2:4 0.3%
2:5 0.1%
3
3:0 6.5%
3:1 6.0%
3:2 2.8%
3:3 0.9%
3:4 0.2%
3:5 0.0%
4
4:0 2.9%
4:1 2.7%
4:2 1.3%
4:3 0.4%
4:4 0.1%
4:5 0.0%
5
5:0 1.1%
5:1 1.0%
5:2 0.5%
5:3 0.1%
5:4 0.0%
5:5 0.0%
Most likely scores
1:111.6%
1:010.9%
2:010.6%
2:19.8%
0:07.3%
Match data

Form and head-to-head

Results before kick-off on 09.08.2026

Last 5 matches · latest first

  • 24.05.2026 away St. Gilloise 1:5
  • 21.05.2026 home St Truiden 3:1
  • 17.05.2026 home Mechelen 2:2
  • 10.05.2026 away Gent 1:1
  • 03.05.2026 home Club Brugge 1:3

Last 5 matches · latest first

  • 09.05.2026 home Cercle Brugge 4:1
  • 26.04.2026 away Waregem 0:4
  • 19.04.2026 home Waregem 0:2
  • 11.04.2026 away Cercle Brugge 0:3
  • 06.04.2026 home Dender 0:1

Head-to-head · Last 2 meetings

RSC Anderlecht wins1
Draws1
RAAL La Louviere wins0
Goals per match0.50
Both teams scored0/2
Over 2.5 goals0/2
  • 15.02.2026 RSC Anderlecht 0:0 RAAL La Louviere
  • 23.11.2025 RAAL La Louviere 0:1 RSC Anderlecht

Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.

✦
AI analysis

Match preview

Model · GPT 5.6 Luna

RSC Anderlecht hold a slight edge over RAAL La Louviere in this First Division A meeting, although the low confidence level points to a relatively open assessment rather than a strong pre-match lean. The available outlook places the home side marginally ahead, but the gap between the teams is not substantial enough to suggest a clear expected outcome.

The match is projected to be medium-scoring, with both teams scoring considered a genuine coin flip. That leaves several plausible paths: a balanced 1:1 draw, or a narrow RSC Anderlecht victory such as 1:0 or 2:0. Overall, the home side has the stronger position in the forecast, while RAAL La Louviere remain competitive enough for the result to stay uncertain.

Current context

What matters before kick-off

Updated
Schedule

Sold out for season opener

RSC Anderlecht's First Division A season opener against RAAL La Louvière at Lotto Park will be played in front of a full stadium after all public tickets were sold out.

AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.

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How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.

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