St. Truidense VV — Lommel SK: Win probabilities, 08.08.2026
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 80.7% |
| 12 | 74.7% | |
| X2 | 44.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 50.0% / 50.0% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 92.1% / 7.9% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 74.6% / 25.4% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 49.0% / 51.0% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 27.1% / 72.9% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 12.7% / 87.3% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 5.1% / 94.9% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Match preview
St. Truidense VV have a slight edge over Lommel SK in this First Division A meeting, although the low confidence level points to a relatively open contest rather than a clear mismatch. The hosts may be better placed to control the game, but Lommel SK should have enough opportunity to remain competitive, particularly if they can turn promising attacks into early pressure.
A medium-scoring match is the most suitable expectation, with the possibility of goals at both ends remaining difficult to separate. The assessment gives no strong indication that either team will dominate defensively, yet it also does not suggest an especially high-scoring encounter. A draw, such as 1-1, is a credible outcome, while narrow home wins including 1-0 or 2-0 also fit the overall picture. St. Truidense VV therefore deserve a modest preference, but the balance of the game leaves room for Lommel SK to avoid defeat.
Other matches
Prediction questions
We remove the bookmaker margin from market odds, estimate each team’s expected goals and build one matrix of possible scores. Outcomes, totals, both teams to score and likely scores all come from that matrix.
Fair odds are one divided by the probability of the main signal. They are a mathematical reference without bookmaker margin, not an offer from a particular bookmaker.
The official prediction is locked before kick-off and is never rewritten after publication. After the final whistle it is checked against the result and added to the public record.
AI does not calculate or change probabilities. It explains the mathematical output in plain language, and the model used is shown next to the analysis.