St. Truidense VV — Lommel SK: Win probabilities, 08.08.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 86.1% |
| 12 | 78.9% | |
| X2 | 35.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 54.6% / 45.4% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 94.6% / 5.4% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 82.6% / 17.4% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 60.1% / 39.9% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 37.7% / 62.3% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 20.3% / 79.7% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 9.5% / 90.5% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Match preview
St. Truidense VV come into this First Division A meeting with a clear overall advantage over Lommel SK, although the confidence behind that assessment is moderate rather than decisive. The hosts are expected to control more of the match and create the stronger attacking threat, while Lommel SK will need to remain compact and make efficient use of their opportunities.
The game projects as a medium-scoring contest, with the most plausible scorelines pointing toward a narrow or controlled home victory, such as 2:0 or 1:0. A 1:1 draw also remains a realistic possibility, reflecting the uncertainty around whether both teams will find the net. Overall, the balance favours St. Truidense VV, but the profile does not suggest an open-and-shut contest. Lommel SK have enough room to make the match competitive, particularly if they can avoid conceding early and keep the hosts from establishing sustained pressure.
What matters before kick-off
Lommel SK missing key players
Lommel SK travel to Sint-Truiden for their opening Jupiler Pro League match without Banguera, Lama, Tolinsson, and Mununga.
Samed Bazdar unavailable for STVV
Newly signed striker Samed Bazdar is not yet eligible to play for Sint-Truiden in their opening fixture against Lommel SK.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.