Match intelligence

Standard Liege — Cercle Brugge: Win probabilities, 08.08.2026

League: First Division A (Belgium) · Kick-off:

Full time

Final result

✓ Prediction hit
Standard Liege2
:
2Cercle Brugge
Locked signal 1X Probability 65.4% Verdict Hit
Mathematical model

Win probabilities

Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin

Odds updated
W1 41.0% Home win Standard Liege
X 24.4% Draw
W2 34.6% Away win Cercle Brugge
Market matrix

Markets

Double chance
1275.6%
Both teams to score
Yes53.7%
Totals 2.5
Over50.2%

All calculated markets

MarketSelectionProbability
Double chance1X65.4%
1275.6%
X259.0%
Both teams to scoreYes/No53.7% / 46.3%
Totals 0.5 Over/Under 93.9% / 6.1%
Totals 1.5 Over/Under 74.1% / 25.9%
Totals 2.5 Over/Under 50.2% / 49.8%
Totals 3.5 Over/Under 28.2% / 71.8%
Totals 4.5 Over/Under 13.5% / 86.5%
Totals 5.5 Over/Under 5.5% / 94.5%
Goal distribution model

Score probability heatmap

Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally

Standard Liege × Cercle Brugge
Home↘Away
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0 6.1%
0:1 9.4%
0:2 5.5%
0:3 2.3%
0:4 0.7%
0:5 0.2%
1
1:0 10.3%
1:1 11.6%
1:2 7.8%
1:3 3.3%
1:4 1.1%
1:5 0.3%
2
2:0 6.8%
2:1 8.7%
2:2 5.5%
2:3 2.3%
2:4 0.7%
2:5 0.2%
3
3:0 3.2%
3:1 4.1%
3:2 2.6%
3:3 1.1%
3:4 0.3%
3:5 0.1%
4
4:0 1.1%
4:1 1.4%
4:2 0.9%
4:3 0.4%
4:4 0.1%
4:5 0.0%
5
5:0 0.3%
5:1 0.4%
5:2 0.3%
5:3 0.1%
5:4 0.0%
5:5 0.0%
Most likely scores
1:111.6%
1:010.4%
0:19.4%
2:18.7%
1:27.8%
Match data

Form and head-to-head

Results before kick-off on 08.08.2026

Last 5 matches · latest first

  • 23.05.2026 home Charleroi 0:2
  • 19.05.2026 away Westerlo 2:1
  • 16.05.2026 home Genk 0:0
  • 08.05.2026 home Oud-Heverlee Leuven 2:1
  • 03.05.2026 away Antwerp 5:0

Last 5 matches · latest first

  • 09.05.2026 away RAAL La Louviere 1:4
  • 01.05.2026 home Waregem 2:3
  • 24.04.2026 home Dender 2:1
  • 19.04.2026 away Dender 4:1
  • 11.04.2026 home RAAL La Louviere 3:0

Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings

Standard Liege wins2
Draws2
Cercle Brugge wins2
Goals per match2.00
Both teams scored3/6
Over 2.5 goals2/6
  • 06.12.2025 Cercle Brugge 1:2 Standard Liege
  • 23.08.2025 Standard Liege 0:3 Cercle Brugge
  • 01.02.2025 Cercle Brugge 1:1 Standard Liege
  • 23.11.2024 Standard Liege 1:0 Cercle Brugge
  • 26.01.2024 Cercle Brugge 1:1 Standard Liege
  • 19.08.2023 Standard Liege 0:1 Cercle Brugge

Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.

✦
AI analysis

Match preview

Model · GPT 5.6 Luna

Standard Liege and Cercle Brugge meet in First Division A in a contest that appears evenly matched. The available assessment points towards a medium-scoring game, with neither side holding a clear overall advantage. Standard Liege may benefit from home conditions, but Cercle Brugge have enough balance in the matchup to keep the outcome open.

A draw is a realistic possibility, while the scoring outlook suggests that both teams could find opportunities without making a high-scoring game the central expectation. The assessment of both teams scoring is finely balanced, so the match may depend on which side makes better use of its limited chances. The most plausible scorelines are 1:1, 1:0, and 0:1, reflecting the narrow margin between Standard Liege and Cercle Brugge rather than a decisive pre-match separation.

Current context

What matters before kick-off

Updated
Schedule

Season Opener in Belgium

The matchday 1 fixture of the 2026/2027 Belgian Pro League between Standard Liège and Cercle Brugge is scheduled for August 8, 2026, at 18:15 local time at the Maurice Dufrasne Stadium (Sclessin).

AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.

Check current terms · 1WIN18+ Bonus up to $500 Sports betting, live markets and mobile app. Available only to users of legal gambling age in eligible regions.
Check available odds ↗

Other matches

→ First Division A

OFFICIAL ODDMIND.APP TELEGRAM CHANNEL New predictions — automatically in Telegram Get new signals and full-analysis links as soon as they are published. Join the channel

How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.

ONE PERSON. AN INDEPENDENT PROJECT.

One person behind the project. Your support makes a difference.

The project currently runs at a loss. A voluntary contribution helps with hosting, data and AI services.

Support the project
18+ All materials are informational and do not guarantee any outcome. Predictions are produced by an automated model; the method is described on the Method page. Responsible gambling

Finding oddmind.app useful?

One person keeps this project running, and it currently brings more expenses than income. If you would like to help, a small voluntary contribution makes a difference.

Support the project
Completely optional. You can keep using the site without donating.