Standard Liege — Cercle Brugge: Win probabilities, 08.08.2026
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 70.5% |
| 12 | 70.5% | |
| X2 | 59.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 52.3% / 47.7% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 90.5% / 9.5% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 73.0% / 27.0% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 46.1% / 53.9% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 24.6% / 75.4% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 11.1% / 88.9% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 4.3% / 95.7% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Match preview
Standard Liege and Cercle Brugge meet in the First Division A on 8 August 2026 in a contest that looks evenly balanced. The available assessment gives Standard Liege home advantage, but only a slight one, while the overall confidence remains moderate. Neither side stands out clearly enough to make this a one-sided matchup, so the game may be decided by small moments and how well each team manages the central phases.
The scoring outlook is medium, with both teams scoring considered equally plausible rather than strongly expected. A 1-1 draw is among the most likely scorelines, while a narrow 1-0 win for Standard Liege or a goalless draw also fit the profile of the match. Standard Liege therefore have a modest edge through home status, but Cercle Brugge remain fully capable of taking points if they stay disciplined and make the most of their opportunities.
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Prediction questions
We remove the bookmaker margin from market odds, estimate each team’s expected goals and build one matrix of possible scores. Outcomes, totals, both teams to score and likely scores all come from that matrix.
Fair odds are one divided by the probability of the main signal. They are a mathematical reference without bookmaker margin, not an offer from a particular bookmaker.
The official prediction is locked before kick-off and is never rewritten after publication. After the final whistle it is checked against the result and added to the public record.
AI does not calculate or change probabilities. It explains the mathematical output in plain language, and the model used is shown next to the analysis.