Club Brugge — KV Kortrijk: Win probabilities, 07.08.2026
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 90.2% |
| 12 | 85.7% | |
| X2 | 24.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 49.0% / 51.0% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 96.8% / 3.2% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 83.6% / 16.4% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 64.0% / 36.0% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 41.9% / 58.1% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 23.7% / 76.3% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 11.7% / 88.3% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Match preview
Club Brugge enter this First Division A fixture against KV Kortrijk with a clear advantage in the assessment. The hosts are considered the stronger side, and the high confidence attached to that view suggests that Club Brugge should control much of the match. Their main task will be to turn that superiority into consistent chances and maintain pressure across the game rather than allowing KV Kortrijk to settle into a compact defensive rhythm.
The scoring outlook points towards an open contest with several goals possible, although both teams finding the net remains uncertain. That distinction gives Club Brugge a stronger platform: the match can be high-scoring without necessarily requiring KV Kortrijk to contribute to the total. The most representative scorelines are a controlled home win such as 2-0 or 3-0, while a narrower 1-0 result is also within the projected range. KV Kortrijk will need to be efficient in the limited opportunities they create if they are to make the contest more balanced.
Other matches
Prediction questions
We remove the bookmaker margin from market odds, estimate each team’s expected goals and build one matrix of possible scores. Outcomes, totals, both teams to score and likely scores all come from that matrix.
Fair odds are one divided by the probability of the main signal. They are a mathematical reference without bookmaker margin, not an offer from a particular bookmaker.
The official prediction is locked before kick-off and is never rewritten after publication. After the final whistle it is checked against the result and added to the public record.
AI does not calculate or change probabilities. It explains the mathematical output in plain language, and the model used is shown next to the analysis.