Match intelligence

Club Brugge — KV Kortrijk: Win probabilities, 07.08.2026

League: First Division A (Belgium) · Kick-off:

Full time

Final result

✓ Prediction hit
Club Brugge3
:
0KV Kortrijk
Locked signal W1 Probability 79.6% Verdict Hit
Mathematical model

Win probabilities

Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin

Odds updated
W1 79.6% Home win Club Brugge
X 13.1% Draw
W2 7.3% Away win KV Kortrijk
Market matrix

Markets

Double chance
1X93.0%
Both teams to score
Yes51.8%
Totals 2.5
Over72.3%

All calculated markets

MarketSelectionProbability
Double chance1X93.0%
1288.0%
X219.0%
Both teams to scoreYes/No51.8% / 48.2%
Totals 0.5 Over/Under 97.7% / 2.3%
Totals 1.5 Over/Under 88.8% / 11.2%
Totals 2.5 Over/Under 72.3% / 27.7%
Totals 3.5 Over/Under 51.6% / 48.4%
Totals 4.5 Over/Under 32.3% / 67.7%
Totals 5.5 Over/Under 17.7% / 82.3%
Goal distribution model

Score probability heatmap

Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally

Club Brugge × KV Kortrijk
Home↘Away
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0 2.3%
0:1 1.9%
0:2 0.7%
0:3 0.2%
0:4 0.0%
0:5 0.0%
1
1:0 7.0%
1:1 5.5%
1:2 2.2%
1:3 0.6%
1:4 0.1%
1:5 0.0%
2
2:0 10.3%
2:1 8.1%
2:2 3.2%
2:3 0.8%
2:4 0.2%
2:5 0.0%
3
3:0 10.2%
3:1 8.0%
3:2 3.2%
3:3 0.8%
3:4 0.2%
3:5 0.0%
4
4:0 7.5%
4:1 5.9%
4:2 2.4%
4:3 0.6%
4:4 0.1%
4:5 0.0%
5
5:0 4.5%
5:1 3.5%
5:2 1.4%
5:3 0.4%
5:4 0.1%
5:5 0.0%
Most likely scores
2:010.3%
3:010.2%
2:18.1%
3:18.0%
4:07.5%
Match data

Form and head-to-head

Results before kick-off on 07.08.2026

Last 5 matches · latest first

  • 24.05.2026 home Gent 5:0
  • 21.05.2026 away Mechelen 2:2
  • 17.05.2026 home St. Gilloise 5:0
  • 09.05.2026 home St Truiden 2:0
  • 03.05.2026 away Anderlecht 3:1

Last 5 matches · latest first

  • 10.05.2025 home St Truiden 2:2
  • 03.05.2025 away Cercle Brugge 2:0
  • 25.04.2025 away Beerschot VA 0:2
  • 12.04.2025 home Beerschot VA 3:2
  • 06.04.2025 away St Truiden 3:0

Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings

Club Brugge wins2
Draws2
KV Kortrijk wins2
Goals per match2.67
Both teams scored3/6
Over 2.5 goals3/6
  • 25.01.2025 Club Brugge 1:1 KV Kortrijk
  • 14.09.2024 KV Kortrijk 0:3 Club Brugge
  • 30.01.2024 Club Brugge 3:3 KV Kortrijk
  • 21.10.2023 KV Kortrijk 1:0 Club Brugge
  • 18.03.2023 KV Kortrijk 1:0 Club Brugge
  • 21.08.2022 Club Brugge 2:1 KV Kortrijk

Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.

✦
AI analysis

Match preview

Model · GPT 5.6 Luna

Club Brugge enter this First Division A meeting with a clear qualitative advantage over KV Kortrijk. The available assessment describes the hosts as clearly stronger, with high confidence, so the main expectation is for Club Brugge to control more of the match and create the greater share of attacking opportunities. KV Kortrijk will need to stay compact and make effective use of their chances if they are to remain competitive.

The overall scoring outlook is high, suggesting an open game with several opportunities rather than a tightly contested defensive encounter. Whether both teams score is less certain, however, so the match could develop either into a comfortable Club Brugge performance or a more balanced contest if KV Kortrijk find an early breakthrough. The scorelines most consistent with the assessment are 2:0, 3:0, and 2:1, all of which point to a home win while allowing for different levels of resistance from KV Kortrijk.

Current context

What matters before kick-off

Updated
Schedule

Belgian Pro League Season Opener

Club Brugge KV host KV Kortrijk at Jan Breydel Stadium in Round 1 to launch the 2026/27 Belgian Pro League campaign.

AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.

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How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.

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