Royal Antwerp FC — SK Beveren: Win probabilities, 09.08.2026
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 83.0% |
| 12 | 74.5% | |
| X2 | 42.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 44.1% / 55.9% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 90.6% / 9.4% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 70.2% / 29.8% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 43.6% / 56.4% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 22.6% / 77.4% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 9.9% / 90.1% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 3.7% / 96.3% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Match preview
Royal Antwerp FC have a slight edge over SK Beveren in this First Division A meeting, although the low confidence level points to a match with limited separation between the sides. Antwerp’s home advantage gives them the more favourable starting position, but the assessment does not suggest a decisive gap. The contest could develop into a controlled, medium-scoring game rather than an open exchange.
The scoring outlook remains balanced. Both teams scoring is considered an even possibility, which leaves several plausible match patterns: Antwerp could edge a tight game, or the sides could share the points if Beveren remain organised. A narrow Royal Antwerp FC victory appears marginally more likely, with a low-margin result the clearest overall theme. SK Beveren therefore remain competitive in the outlook, particularly if they can limit Antwerp’s opportunities and keep the match level for long periods.
Other matches
Prediction questions
We remove the bookmaker margin from market odds, estimate each team’s expected goals and build one matrix of possible scores. Outcomes, totals, both teams to score and likely scores all come from that matrix.
Fair odds are one divided by the probability of the main signal. They are a mathematical reference without bookmaker margin, not an offer from a particular bookmaker.
The official prediction is locked before kick-off and is never rewritten after publication. After the final whistle it is checked against the result and added to the public record.
AI does not calculate or change probabilities. It explains the mathematical output in plain language, and the model used is shown next to the analysis.