Royal Antwerp FC — SK Beveren: Win probabilities, 09.08.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 75.3% |
| 12 | 72.9% | |
| X2 | 51.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 51.5% / 48.5% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 91.6% / 8.4% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 73.6% / 26.4% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 47.6% / 52.4% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 25.9% / 74.1% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 11.9% / 88.1% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 4.7% / 95.3% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Match preview
Royal Antwerp FC hold a slight home advantage over SK Beveren in this First Division A meeting. The assessment is relatively firm in favour of the hosts, but the gap between the teams is not considered decisive. That points towards a match in which Royal Antwerp FC may have the better overall position without being able to rely on complete control.
The scoring outlook is medium-scoring, while the possibility of both teams finding the net remains finely balanced. A draw is therefore a realistic part of the match profile, alongside a narrow home win. The most plausible scenarios indicate a competitive contest, with limited separation likely to persist for long periods. SK Beveren should remain involved if the game develops evenly, while Royal Antwerp FC have the stronger platform through home advantage. Overall, the signal favours the hosts avoiding defeat, with the main question being whether they can turn that edge into a narrow victory.
What matters before kick-off
SK Beveren return to First Division A
SK Beveren open their return to the Belgian top flight against Royal Antwerp FC following an undefeated campaign in the Challenger Pro League.
Marvin Compper introduced as Royal Antwerp FC head coach
Royal Antwerp FC introduced Marvin Compper as their new head coach ahead of the league opener against SK Beveren.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.