Sparta Rotterdam — FC Utrecht: Win probabilities, 22.08.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 64.9% |
| 12 | 72.4% | |
| X2 | 62.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 62.9% / 37.1% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 93.5% / 6.5% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 82.5% / 17.5% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 58.7% / 41.3% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 36.4% / 63.6% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 19.3% / 80.7% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 8.9% / 91.1% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 22.08.2026
Sparta Rotterdam
12th place · 3 pts after 2Last 5 matches · latest first
- 14.08.2026 away Telstar 3:1
- 09.08.2026 home Feyenoord 0:1
- 17.05.2026 home Excelsior 2:3
- 10.05.2026 away Twente 0:4
- 03.05.2026 home Go Ahead Eagles 2:2
FC Utrecht
14th place · 0 pts after 2Last 5 matches · latest first
- 15.08.2026 home AZ Alkmaar 1:4
- 09.08.2026 away Groningen 1:2
- 17.05.2026 home For Sittard 2:0
- 10.05.2026 away Ajax 2:1
- 02.05.2026 home NAC Breda 2:0
This season: Sparta Rotterdam at home vs FC Utrecht away
| Metric | Sparta Rotterdam · at home | FC Utrecht · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 1 | 1 |
| W–D–L | 0–0–1 | 0–0–1 |
| Goals scored per match | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| xG for per match | 1.01 | 2.27 |
| xG against per match | 3.53 | 1.54 |
| Shots on target per match | 0.00 | 7.00 |
| Corners per match | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 0% | 100% |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 100% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 25.01.2026 FC Utrecht 0:1 Sparta Rotterdam
- 17.08.2025 Sparta Rotterdam 2:1 FC Utrecht
- 14.05.2025 FC Utrecht 1:1 Sparta Rotterdam
- 03.11.2024 Sparta Rotterdam 1:4 FC Utrecht
- 12.05.2024 FC Utrecht 0:1 Sparta Rotterdam
- 26.11.2023 Sparta Rotterdam 1:2 FC Utrecht
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Sparta Rotterdam and FC Utrecht look evenly matched ahead of their Eredivisie meeting on 22 August 2026. The available assessment gives neither side a clear advantage, with a moderate level of confidence in a balanced contest. Sparta Rotterdam may have a slight benefit from playing at home, but FC Utrecht have enough attacking potential to keep the match open.
The game is expected to produce a medium level of scoring, and both teams are likely to find the net. That points toward a competitive encounter rather than a controlled, low-tempo match. A 1:1 draw stands out as a plausible scoreline, while narrow wins for either Sparta Rotterdam or FC Utrecht also fit the overall picture. With the teams so closely matched, the home side has a reasonable chance of avoiding defeat, but the result remains difficult to separate.
What matters before kick-off
Early season form
Sparta Rotterdam enter the match following a 3-1 away victory over Telstar in the previous Eredivisie round, whereas FC Utrecht suffered losses in their opening two league fixtures against Groningen and AZ Alkmaar.
Recent head-to-head record
Sparta Rotterdam entered the fixture on a three-match unbeaten streak against FC Utrecht, having won the last two head-to-head meetings between the clubs.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.