Match intelligence

SC Cambuur — Feyenoord Rotterdam: Win probabilities, 23.08.2026

League: Eredivisie (Netherlands) · Kick-off:

Full time

Final result

✓ Prediction hit
SC Cambuur2
:
5Feyenoord Rotterdam
Locked signal W2 Probability 78.6% Verdict Hit
Mathematical model

Win probabilities

Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin

Odds updated
W1 7.5% Home win SC Cambuur
X 13.9% Draw
W2 78.6% Away win Feyenoord Rotterdam
Market matrix

Markets

Double chance
X292.5%
Both teams to score
Yes55.8%
Totals 2.5
Over73.4%

All calculated markets

MarketSelectionProbability
Double chance1X21.4%
1286.1%
X292.5%
Both teams to scoreYes/No55.8% / 44.2%
Totals 0.5 Over/Under 97.2% / 2.8%
Totals 1.5 Over/Under 90.0% / 10.0%
Totals 2.5 Over/Under 73.4% / 26.6%
Totals 3.5 Over/Under 53.0% / 47.0%
Totals 4.5 Over/Under 33.6% / 66.4%
Totals 5.5 Over/Under 18.7% / 81.3%
Goal distribution model

Score probability heatmap

Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally

SC Cambuur × Feyenoord Rotterdam
Home↘Away
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0 2.8%
0:1 5.9%
0:2 9.5%
0:3 9.3%
0:4 6.9%
0:5 4.0%
1
1:0 1.3%
1:1 6.2%
1:2 8.3%
1:3 8.2%
1:4 6.0%
1:5 3.5%
2
2:0 0.8%
2:1 2.5%
2:2 3.6%
2:3 3.6%
2:4 2.6%
2:5 1.5%
3
3:0 0.2%
3:1 0.7%
3:2 1.1%
3:3 1.0%
3:4 0.8%
3:5 0.5%
4
4:0 0.1%
4:1 0.2%
4:2 0.2%
4:3 0.2%
4:4 0.2%
4:5 0.1%
5
5:0 0.0%
5:1 0.0%
5:2 0.0%
5:3 0.0%
5:4 0.0%
5:5 0.0%
Most likely scores
0:29.5%
0:39.3%
1:28.3%
1:38.2%
0:46.9%
Match data

Form and head-to-head

Results before kick-off on 23.08.2026

SC Cambuur

18th place · 0 pts after 2

Last 5 matches · latest first

  • 15.08.2026 away For Sittard 1:3
  • 07.08.2026 home Excelsior 0:4
  • 28.05.2023 home Waalwijk 4:0
  • 21.05.2023 away Sparta Rotterdam 1:4
  • 14.05.2023 away Vitesse 0:2

Feyenoord Rotterdam

9th place · 4 pts after 2

Last 5 matches · latest first

  • 16.08.2026 home Go Ahead Eagles 2:2
  • 09.08.2026 away Sparta Rotterdam 1:0
  • 17.05.2026 away Zwolle 2:0
  • 10.05.2026 home AZ Alkmaar 1:1
  • 03.05.2026 away For Sittard 2:1

This season: SC Cambuur at home vs Feyenoord Rotterdam away

Metric SC Cambuur · at home Feyenoord Rotterdam · away
Matches11
W–D–L0–0–11–0–0
Goals scored per match0.001.00
Goals conceded per match4.000.00
xG for per match0.723.53
xG against per match2.871.01
Shots on target per match2.006.00
Corners per match5.0010.00
Over 2.5 goals100%0%
Both teams scored0%0%

Head-to-head · Last 4 meetings

SC Cambuur wins0
Draws0
Feyenoord Rotterdam wins4
Goals per match3.25
Both teams scored2/4
Over 2.5 goals3/4
  • 16.04.2023 SC Cambuur 0:3 Feyenoord Rotterdam
  • 10.11.2022 Feyenoord Rotterdam 1:0 SC Cambuur
  • 20.02.2022 Feyenoord Rotterdam 3:1 SC Cambuur
  • 24.10.2021 SC Cambuur 2:3 Feyenoord Rotterdam

Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.

✦
AI analysis

Match preview

Model · GPT 5.6 Luna

SC Cambuur face Feyenoord Rotterdam in an Eredivisie meeting on 23 August 2026. The overall assessment gives Feyenoord Rotterdam a clear advantage, with high confidence in the visitors’ superiority. That points to a match in which Feyenoord Rotterdam are expected to control more of the important phases and create the more convincing attacking threat.

The game is also projected to be high-scoring, although the possibility of both teams finding the net remains finely balanced. The main scoreline scenarios favour Feyenoord Rotterdam, with 0:2 and 0:3 among the leading possibilities, while 1:2 also reflects a competitive contest if SC Cambuur can contribute in attack. SC Cambuur will need to stay disciplined without the ball and make efficient use of their opportunities, whereas Feyenoord Rotterdam can approach the match with greater attacking expectations. Overall, the balance of the analysis points towards an away win, while the scoring pattern leaves room for an open and active match.

Current context

What matters before kick-off

Updated
Schedule

Recent League Form

Feyenoord enter the fixture following a 2-2 home draw against Go Ahead Eagles in which they squandered a two-goal lead, while SC Cambuur fell to a 3-1 away defeat against Fortuna Sittard.

Match fact

Head-to-Head Record

Feyenoord are unbeaten in their last 20 head-to-head matches against SC Cambuur across all competitions, securing 19 victories alongside a single draw.

AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.

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