Go Ahead Eagles — ADO Den Haag: Win probabilities, 23.08.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 80.6% |
| 12 | 76.7% | |
| X2 | 42.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 65.9% / 34.1% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 95.3% / 4.7% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 88.0% / 12.0% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 67.9% / 32.1% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 46.3% / 53.7% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 27.4% / 72.6% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 14.2% / 85.8% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 23.08.2026
Go Ahead Eagles
3rd place · 4 pts after 2Last 5 matches · latest first
- 16.08.2026 away Feyenoord 2:2
- 08.08.2026 home Willem II 4:1
- 17.05.2026 away Nijmegen 1:2
- 10.05.2026 home PSV Eindhoven 1:4
- 03.05.2026 away Sparta Rotterdam 2:2
ADO Den Haag
16th place · 0 pts after 2Last 5 matches · latest first
- 16.08.2026 home Groningen 1:4
- 08.08.2026 away AZ Alkmaar 0:2
- 16.05.2021 away Twente 2:3
- 13.05.2021 home Willem II 1:4
- 09.05.2021 away Zwolle 1:0
This season: Go Ahead Eagles at home vs ADO Den Haag away
| Metric | Go Ahead Eagles · at home | ADO Den Haag · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 1 | 1 |
| W–D–L | 1–0–0 | 0–0–1 |
| Goals scored per match | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| xG for per match | 2.43 | 0.95 |
| xG against per match | 1.51 | 2.67 |
| Shots on target per match | 10.00 | 0.00 |
| Corners per match | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 0% |
Head-to-head
No previous meetings found in the available data.
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Go Ahead Eagles have a slight edge over ADO Den Haag in this Eredivisie meeting, although the moderate confidence level points to a contest with room for different outcomes. The available assessment leans toward the hosts, but it does not suggest a decisive gap between the teams. A draw remains a plausible scenario, while a narrow home victory is also consistent with the overall outlook.
The match is projected to be high-scoring, with both Go Ahead Eagles and ADO Den Haag likely to find the net. That makes the both-teams-to-score market the clearest signal in the assessment, rather than a strong expectation of one-sided control. The listed scorelines of 1:1, 2:1 and 2:0 reflect that balance: the first indicates a competitive draw, while the latter two give Go Ahead Eagles the advantage through a narrow or more controlled win. Much will depend on whether ADO Den Haag can maintain their attacking threat while limiting the hosts' opportunities.
What matters before kick-off
Team news and availability
Go Ahead Eagles manager Joseph Oosting is missing several injured players, including Gerrit Nauber, Melle Meulensteen, Evert Linthorst, Mathis Suray, Julius Dirksen, Tomas Galvez, Pim Saathof and Robbin Weijenberg. For ADO Den Haag, Cameron Peupion and Jalen Hawkins are sidelined.
Unbeaten start for Go Ahead Eagles
Go Ahead Eagles head into matchday three of the Eredivisie undefeated with four points from two games, following a 4-1 home win over Willem II and a 2-2 draw away at Feyenoord.
Challenging Eredivisie return for ADO Den Haag
Returning to the Dutch top flight after a five-year absence, ADO Den Haag remain winless after their opening two fixtures, having suffered defeats against AZ (2-0) and Groningen (4-1).
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.