Slavia Prague — Arsenal FC: Win probabilities, 04.11.2026
Mathematical model
Odds updated
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
W1
11.4%
Home win
Slavia Prague
X
15.2%
Draw
W2
73.4%
Away win
Arsenal FC
Market matrix
Markets
Double chance
X288.6%
Both teams to score
Yes51.1%
Totals 2.5
Over63.7%
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 26.6% |
| 12 | 84.8% | |
| X2 | 88.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 51.1% / 48.9% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 96.8% / 3.2% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 83.3% / 16.7% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 63.7% / 36.3% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 41.5% / 58.5% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 23.4% / 76.6% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 11.5% / 88.5% |
Goal distribution model
Slavia Prague × Arsenal FC
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Home↘Away
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
3.2%
0:1
9.8%
0:2
11.3%
0:3
9.2%
0:4
5.6%
0:5
2.7%
1
1:0
3.7%
1:1
7.1%
1:2
9.4%
1:3
7.7%
1:4
4.7%
1:5
2.3%
2
2:0
1.3%
2:1
3.2%
2:2
3.9%
2:3
3.2%
2:4
2.0%
2:5
1.0%
3
3:0
0.4%
3:1
0.9%
3:2
1.1%
3:3
0.9%
3:4
0.5%
3:5
0.3%
4
4:0
0.1%
4:1
0.2%
4:2
0.2%
4:3
0.2%
4:4
0.1%
4:5
0.1%
5
5:0
0.0%
5:1
0.0%
5:2
0.0%
5:3
0.0%
5:4
0.0%
5:5
0.0%
Most likely scores
0:211.3%
0:19.8%
1:29.4%
0:39.2%
1:37.7%
Match data
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 04.11.2026
Slavia Prague
Last 3 matches · latest first
- 20.10.2026 away Fenerbahce Istanbul 2:2
- 13.10.2026 away Sabah Masazir 0:2
- 10.09.2026 home Racing Club De Lens 2:3
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 24.10.2026 home Everton 2:0
- 18.10.2026 away Nott'm Forest 1:0
- 10.10.2026 home Leeds 2:1
- 19.09.2026 away Brighton 0:3
- 12.09.2026 away Sunderland 2:0
Head-to-head
No previous meetings found in the available data.
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
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How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.