Borussia Dortmund — Real Betis Seville: Win probabilities, 04.11.2026
Mathematical model
Odds updated
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
W1
54.9%
Home win
Borussia Dortmund
X
24.3%
Draw
W2
20.8%
Away win
Real Betis Seville
Market matrix
Markets
Double chance
1X79.2%
Both teams to score
Yes64.9%
Totals 2.5
Over65.6%
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 79.2% |
| 12 | 75.7% | |
| X2 | 45.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 64.9% / 35.1% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 94.9% / 5.1% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 86.8% / 13.2% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 65.6% / 34.4% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 43.7% / 56.3% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 25.2% / 74.8% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 12.7% / 87.3% |
Goal distribution model
Borussia Dortmund × Real Betis Seville
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Home↘Away
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
5.1%
0:1
2.6%
0:2
2.7%
0:3
1.2%
0:4
0.4%
0:5
0.1%
1
1:0
5.5%
1:1
10.9%
1:2
5.8%
1:3
2.5%
1:4
0.8%
1:5
0.2%
2
2:0
7.6%
2:1
9.6%
2:2
6.1%
2:3
2.6%
2:4
0.8%
2:5
0.2%
3
3:0
5.3%
3:1
6.8%
3:2
4.3%
3:3
1.8%
3:4
0.6%
3:5
0.1%
4
4:0
2.8%
4:1
3.6%
4:2
2.3%
4:3
1.0%
4:4
0.3%
4:5
0.1%
5
5:0
1.2%
5:1
1.5%
5:2
1.0%
5:3
0.4%
5:4
0.1%
5:5
0.0%
Most likely scores
1:110.9%
2:19.6%
2:07.6%
3:16.8%
2:26.1%
Match data
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 04.11.2026
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 24.10.2026 home Ein Frankfurt 1:0
- 17.10.2026 away Union Berlin 0:0
- 09.10.2026 home Werder Bremen 2:2
- 19.09.2026 away Stuttgart 1:0
- 12.09.2026 home Paderborn 3:0
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 25.10.2026 away Celta 0:0
- 17.10.2026 home Barcelona 2:5
- 11.10.2026 home Osasuna 5:2
- 20.09.2026 away La Coruna 1:1
- 17.09.2026 home Getafe 1:0
Head-to-head
No previous meetings found in the available data.
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
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How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.