Racing Club De Lens — Como 1907: Win probabilities, 04.11.2026
Mathematical model
Odds updated
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
W1
31.1%
Home win
Racing Club De Lens
X
24.5%
Draw
W2
44.3%
Away win
Como 1907
Market matrix
Markets
Double chance
1275.5%
Both teams to score
Yes66.6%
Totals 2.5
Over65.1%
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 55.7% |
| 12 | 75.5% | |
| X2 | 68.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 66.6% / 33.4% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 95.5% / 4.5% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 85.7% / 14.3% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 65.1% / 34.9% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 43.1% / 56.9% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 24.7% / 75.3% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 12.3% / 87.7% |
Goal distribution model
Racing Club De Lens × Como 1907
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Home↘Away
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
4.5%
0:1
5.4%
0:2
5.9%
0:3
3.6%
0:4
1.7%
0:5
0.6%
1
1:0
4.3%
1:1
10.8%
1:2
8.9%
1:3
5.5%
1:4
2.5%
1:5
0.9%
2
2:0
4.0%
2:1
7.4%
2:2
6.8%
2:3
4.1%
2:4
1.9%
2:5
0.7%
3
3:0
2.0%
3:1
3.7%
3:2
3.4%
3:3
2.1%
3:4
1.0%
3:5
0.4%
4
4:0
0.8%
4:1
1.4%
4:2
1.3%
4:3
0.8%
4:4
0.4%
4:5
0.1%
5
5:0
0.2%
5:1
0.4%
5:2
0.4%
5:3
0.2%
5:4
0.1%
5:5
0.0%
Most likely scores
1:110.8%
1:28.9%
2:17.4%
2:26.8%
0:25.9%
Match data
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 04.11.2026
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 24.10.2026 home Paris FC 2:1
- 17.10.2026 away Troyes 3:1
- 09.10.2026 home Lyon 2:1
- 18.09.2026 away Monaco 1:2
- 13.09.2026 away Le Mans 2:2
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 27.10.2026 away Torino 3:1
- 24.10.2026 home Sassuolo 2:0
- 18.10.2026 away Fiorentina 3:1
- 11.10.2026 home Roma 0:0
- 20.09.2026 away Frosinone 0:2
Head-to-head
No previous meetings found in the available data.
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
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How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.