Shkendija Tetovo — Bravo Ljubljana: Win probabilities, 30.07.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 82.7% |
| 12 | 79.0% | |
| X2 | 38.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 48.0% / 52.0% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 94.0% / 6.0% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 75.0% / 25.0% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 51.2% / 48.8% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 29.1% / 70.9% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 14.0% / 86.0% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 5.8% / 94.2% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Match preview
Shkendija Tetovo enter this UEFA Conference League qualification tie with a clear but only moderately confident advantage over Bravo Ljubljana. The home side is rated as the stronger team, suggesting that control of the match and territorial pressure may be more likely to come from Shkendija Tetovo, particularly with home conditions in their favour. However, the assessment does not point to an overwhelming mismatch, so Bravo Ljubljana should remain competitive if they can stay organised and limit the hosts’ opportunities.
The game is projected to be medium-scoring, with the most likely scorelines pointing toward a narrow home victory rather than a one-sided result. A 1:0 or 2:0 outcome would fit a match in which Shkendija Tetovo gradually establish superiority, while 2:1 reflects the possibility of Bravo Ljubljana contributing on the scoresheet. The likelihood of both teams scoring is considered finely balanced, leaving the main expectation as a home win with some uncertainty over how open the contest becomes.
What matters before kick-off
First leg result
In the first leg of the UEFA Conference League second qualifying round on July 23, 2026, Slovenian side NK Bravo defeated Shkëndija 2-1 in Ljubljana.
Recent domestic results
Ahead of the second leg, Shkëndija secured a 3-0 victory over FK Skopje in the Macedonian First League on July 26, 2026, while NK Bravo suffered a 0-3 defeat against Nafta in the Slovene First League.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.