FC Ballkani — Bohemians Dublin FC: Win probabilities, 30.07.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 66.6% |
| 12 | 73.2% | |
| X2 | 60.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 52.7% / 47.3% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 92.3% / 7.7% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 73.1% / 26.9% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 47.8% / 52.2% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 26.1% / 73.9% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 12.0% / 88.0% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 4.8% / 95.2% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Match preview
FC Ballkani and Bohemians Dublin FC appear evenly matched ahead of their UEFA Conference League qualifying meeting. The available assessment points to a moderate-confidence contest in which neither side holds a clear overall advantage. That suggests the match could be shaped by small details, including how well each team manages possession, defensive transitions and pressure in key areas.
The scoring outlook is medium, with both teams scoring considered a genuine possibility rather than a strong expectation. A balanced game may therefore develop without a consistently dominant side, while the home setting gives FC Ballkani some support in the overall assessment. Bohemians Dublin FC remain close enough to make the result difficult to separate, particularly if they can keep the game compact and compete effectively away from home. The most cautious reading is a match leaning toward the hosts avoiding defeat, but the evidence still supports a competitive encounter rather than a decisive advantage for either team.
What matters before kick-off
Bohemians hold first-leg aggregate lead
Bohemians Dublin enter the second leg of their UEFA Conference League second qualifying round tie against Kosovo's FC Ballkani holding a 2-1 aggregate lead.
Late Ross Tierney winner sealed first leg
In the first leg, Bohemians came from behind to defeat Ballkani 2-1 courtesy of an equalizer by Douglas James-Taylor and a 90th-minute volley from Ross Tierney.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.