FC Ballkani — Bohemians Dublin FC: Win probabilities, 30.07.2026
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 67.4% |
| 12 | 74.3% | |
| X2 | 58.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 53.1% / 46.9% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 93.0% / 7.0% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 73.7% / 26.3% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 48.9% / 51.1% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 27.1% / 72.9% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 12.7% / 87.3% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 5.1% / 94.9% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Match preview
FC Ballkani and Bohemians Dublin FC appear evenly matched ahead of their UEFA Conference League qualifying meeting. The available assessment points to a moderate-confidence contest in which neither side holds a clear overall advantage. That suggests the match could be shaped by small details, including how well each team manages possession, defensive transitions and pressure in key areas.
The scoring outlook is medium, with both teams scoring considered a genuine possibility rather than a strong expectation. A balanced game may therefore develop without a consistently dominant side, while the home setting gives FC Ballkani some support in the overall assessment. Bohemians Dublin FC remain close enough to make the result difficult to separate, particularly if they can keep the game compact and compete effectively away from home. The most cautious reading is a match leaning toward the hosts avoiding defeat, but the evidence still supports a competitive encounter rather than a decisive advantage for either team.
Other matches
Prediction questions
We remove the bookmaker margin from market odds, estimate each team’s expected goals and build one matrix of possible scores. Outcomes, totals, both teams to score and likely scores all come from that matrix.
Fair odds are one divided by the probability of the main signal. They are a mathematical reference without bookmaker margin, not an offer from a particular bookmaker.
The official prediction is locked before kick-off and is never rewritten after publication. After the final whistle it is checked against the result and added to the public record.
AI does not calculate or change probabilities. It explains the mathematical output in plain language, and the model used is shown next to the analysis.