IF Vestri — FC RFS: Win probabilities, 30.07.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 21.0% |
| 12 | 86.5% | |
| X2 | 92.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 50.0% / 50.0% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 97.0% / 3.0% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 86.7% / 13.3% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 68.3% / 31.7% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 46.8% / 53.2% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 27.9% / 72.1% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 14.5% / 85.5% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Match preview
IF Vestri face FC RFS in the UEFA Conference League qualification round, with the available assessment giving the visitors a clear advantage. FC RFS are clearly stronger on the available evidence, while IF Vestri enter the match as the underdog. That points towards FC RFS controlling more of the game, particularly if they can impose their preferred tempo and turn their superiority into chances.
The overall expectation is for an open, high-scoring contest rather than a tightly contained match. However, whether both teams score remains finely balanced, so the attacking outlook does not necessarily imply a goal for each side. The most plausible scorelines are 0:2, 0:3 and 1:2, all of which reflect an away win while allowing for different levels of resistance from IF Vestri. FC RFS should therefore be considered the stronger side, but the match may still contain enough attacking activity to remain competitive for periods.
What matters before kick-off
First leg result
In the first leg of the UEFA Conference League second qualifying round, Latvian side FC RFS secured a 4-1 home victory over Icelandic team IF Vestri.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.