IF Vestri — FC RFS: Win probabilities, 30.07.2026
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 16.4% |
| 12 | 89.1% | |
| X2 | 94.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 40.4% / 59.6% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 96.9% / 3.1% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 84.6% / 15.4% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 65.4% / 34.6% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 43.4% / 56.6% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 24.9% / 75.1% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 12.5% / 87.5% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Match preview
IF Vestri face a difficult assignment against FC RFS in the UEFA Conference League qualification round. The available assessment gives FC RFS a clear advantage, with the visitors appearing stronger in both overall quality and expected control of the match. IF Vestri may need to defend compactly and limit the space available between the lines, as an open contest would likely favour the Latvian side.
The game is expected to produce several attacking moments, while the indications also point towards a strong possibility that IF Vestri could be kept scoreless. FC RFS therefore have the clearer route to victory, especially if they convert their opportunities efficiently and maintain defensive discipline after taking the lead. The most plausible scenarios are a controlled away win with IF Vestri unable to find the net, ranging from a narrow result to a more comfortable success.
Other matches
Prediction questions
We remove the bookmaker margin from market odds, estimate each team’s expected goals and build one matrix of possible scores. Outcomes, totals, both teams to score and likely scores all come from that matrix.
Fair odds are one divided by the probability of the main signal. They are a mathematical reference without bookmaker margin, not an offer from a particular bookmaker.
The official prediction is locked before kick-off and is never rewritten after publication. After the final whistle it is checked against the result and added to the public record.
AI does not calculate or change probabilities. It explains the mathematical output in plain language, and the model used is shown next to the analysis.